Publications related to Decision model

Contextual Stochastic Bilevel Optimization

Daniel Kuhn, Yifan Hu, Andreas Krause, Jie Wang

We introduce contextual stochastic bilevel optimization (CSBO) -- a stochastic bilevel optimization framework with the lower-level problem minimizing an expectation conditioned on some contextual information and the upper-level decision variable. This fram ...

2023

Interventionist estimands in event history analysis

Matias Janvin

The presence of competing events, such as death, makes it challenging to define causal effects on recurrent outcomes. In this thesis, I formalize causal inference for recurrent events, with and without competing events. I define several causal estimands an ...

EPFL2023

Endogenous Energy Efficiency Improvement in Housing and Cement Sectors in Switzerland

Sergey Arzoyan

The reduction of energy consumption in the residential building stock and cement industry is a substantial component of the Swiss Energy Strategy 2050. Therefore, it is vital to identify the potential for EEI in these two sectors. In this study, a new meth ...

EPFL2023

On the Validity of Consensus

Rachid Guerraoui, Jovan Komatovic, Manuel José Ribeiro Vidigueira, Pierre Philippe Civit, Seth Gilbert

The Byzantine consensus problem involves.. processes, out of which t < n could be faulty and behave arbitrarily. Three properties characterize consensus: (1) termination, requiring correct (nonfaulty) processes to eventually reach a decision, (2) agreement ...

Assoc Computing Machinery2023

Relatively Robust Decisions

Thomas Alois Weber

It is natural for humans to judge the outcome of a decision under uncertainty as a percentage of an ex-post optimal performance. We propose a robust decision-making framework based on a relative performance index. It is shown that if the decision maker’s p ...

2023

Decision Learning and Adaptation Over Multi-Task Networks

Ali H. Sayed

This paper studies the operation of multi-agent networks engaged in multi-task decision problems under the paradigm of simultaneous learning and adaptation. Two scenarios are considered:one in which a decision must be taken among multiple states of nature ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2021

A Pareto Dominance Principle for Data-Driven Optimization

Daniel Kuhn, Tobias Sutter

We propose a statistically optimal approach to construct data-driven decisions for stochastic optimization problems. Fundamentally, a data-driven decision is simply a function that maps the available training data to a feasible action. It can always be exp ...

2024

Optimal Adversarial Policies in the Multiplicative Learning System With a Malicious Expert

Negar Kiyavash, Seyed Jalal Etesami

We consider a learning system based on the conventional multiplicative weight ( MW) rule that combines experts' advice to predict a sequence of true outcomes. It is assumed that one of the experts is malicious and aims to impose the maximum loss on the sys ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2021

Modeling infectious disease dynamics towards informed public health interventions, with applications on COVID-19 and cholera

Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre

Emerging and existing infectious diseases pose a constant threat to individuals and communities across the world. In many cases, the burden of these diseases is preventable through public health interventions. However, taking the right decisions and design ...

EPFL2021

Multi-Step Critiquing User Interface for Recommender Systems

Boi Faltings, Diana Andreea Petrescu, Diego Matteo Antognini

Recommendations with personalized explanations have been shown to increase user trust and perceived quality and help users make better decisions. Moreover, such explanations allow users to provide feedback by critiquing them. Several algorithms for recomme ...

ASSOC COMPUTING MACHINERY2021

Life cycle efficiency of solar shading systems: a proof-of-concept

Marilyne Andersen, Sergi Aguacil Moreno, Thomas Bernard Paul Jusselme, Nazanin Rezaei Oghazi

Solar control strategies are essential for the glare control and decreasing cooling needs or overheating risks (in the absence of active cooling system), however, they come with their own embodied energy. With the carbon neutrality objective looking at the ...

2021

Disentangling the origins of confidence in speeded perceptual judgments through multimodal imaging

Dimitri Nestor Alice Van De Ville, Olaf Blanke, José del Rocio Millán Ruiz, Nathan Quentin Faivre, Inaki Asier Iturrate Gil, Michael Eric Anthony Pereira, Stéphanie Martin, Arnaud Marc Desvachez, Marco Wirthlin

The human capacity to compute the likelihood that a decision is correct—known as metacognition—has proven difficult to study in isolation as it usually cooccurs with decision making. Here, we isolated postdecisional from decisional contributions to metacog ...

2020

JIT works: decide when all data is known (VLDB Women in Database Research Award talk)

Anastasia Ailamaki

When the time comes to make a critical decision, it is of paramount importance to prepare enough so that all the information necessary is available at decision time. Under-preparation leads to uninformed decisions; over-preparation, however, may lead to co ...

ASSOC COMPUTING MACHINERY2020

Product assortment and space allocation strategies to attract loyal and non-loyal customers

Ralf Seifert, Anna Timonina-Farkas, Argyro Katsifou

Assortment planning deserves much attention from practitioners and academics due to its direct impact on retailers' commercial success. In this paper we focus on the increasingly popular retail practice to use combined product assortments with both "standa ...

2020

Neural Correlates of Reinforcement Learning: eligibility trace, reward prediction error, novelty and surprise

He Xu

In reinforcement learning (RL), an agent makes sequential decisions to maximise the reward it can obtain from an environment. During learning, the actual and expected outcomes are compared to tell whether a decision was good or bad. The difference between ...

EPFL2020

Digital approaches and mobilities in the Big Data era

Jean-François Lucas

This chapter discusses some of the opportunities offered by Big Data to understand mobility practices. However, beyond its promises, it has to be considered as human and social constructions. Therefore, the author underlines the importance of describing al ...

Routledge, Taylor & Francis2020

Multi-armed Bandits in Action

Farnood Salehi

Making decisions is part and parcel of being human. Among a set of actions, we want to choose the one that has the highest reward. But the uncertainty of the outcome prevents us from always making the right decision. Making decisions under uncertainty can ...

EPFL2020

Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Learning

Soroosh Shafieezadeh Abadeh

Many decision problems in science, engineering, and economics are affected by uncertainty, which is typically modeled by a random variable governed by an unknown probability distribution. For many practical applications, the probability distribution is onl ...

EPFL2020

Toward Robust Sensing for Autonomous Vehicles: An Adversarial Perspective

Pascal Frossard, Andrea Cavallaro, Apostolos Modas

Autonomous vehicles (AVs) rely on accurate and robust sensor observations for safety-critical decision making in a variety of conditions. The fundamental building blocks of such systems are sensors and classifiers that process ultrasound, radar, GPS, lidar ...

2020

A Robust Optimization Framework for the Day-Ahead Scheduling of Active Distribution Networks including Energy Storage Systems

Mario Paolone, Mokhtar Bozorg, Mostafa Nick

In this paper we present an adaptive robust optimization framework for the day-ahead scheduling of Active Distribution Networks (ADNs) where the controlled devices are distributed Energy Storage Systems (ESSs). First, the targeted problem is formulated usi ...

IEEE2019