Publications related to International trade

On double-descent in uncertainty quantification in overparametrized models

Florent Gérard Krzakala, Lenka Zdeborová, Lucas Andry Clarte, Bruno Loureiro, Bruno Loureiro

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks. Several methods, ra ...

PMLR Proceedings of Machine Learning Research2023

Dynamic Personalized Ranking

Jérémie Rappaz

Personalized ranking methods are at the core of many systems that learn to produce recommendations from user feedbacks. Their primary objective is to identify relevant items from very large vocabularies and to assist users in discovering new content. These ...

EPFL2022

Capturing trade-offs between daily scheduling choices

Michel Bierlaire, Timothy Michael Hillel, Janody Pougala

We propose a new modelling approach for daily activity scheduling which integrates the different daily scheduling choice dimensions (activity participation, location, schedule, duration and transportation mode) into a single optimisation problem. The funda ...

ELSEVIER SCI LTD2022

Writing Multilateral Trade Rules in the League of Nations

Madeleine Louise Lynch Dungy

This article analyses the mechanics and the political stakes of multilateral trade negotiations in the League of Nations, in the context of the transition from empires to nation states. It examines one attempt to transfer bilateral treaty norms to a multil ...

CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS2021

The cis-lunar ecosystem — A systems model and scenarios of the resource industry and its impact

Jean-Paul Richard Kneib

Lunar resources is one of the many new putative business models that may transform space logistics. Yet it competes with Earth-based resources, in a complex trade-off involving both tech development & socioeconomic dynamics. This study models the size vs. ...

2021

The Politics of Participatory Sustainability Assessments: An Analysis of Power

Livia Bianca Fritz, Franziska Meinherz

The participation of societal actors has been advanced as the gold standard of sustainability assessment processes and is thought essential to dealing with the plurality of normative claims surrounding sustainability and the need to take decisions in a con ...

Cambridge University Press2020

Imbalance and drivers of carbon emissions embodied in trade along the Belt and Road Initiative

Qinli Lu

A continuous growth of international trade, especially between developing countries, has greatly increased carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions associated with energy consumption over the past two decades. Given the more intensified intraregional cooperation and ...

ELSEVIER SCI LTD2020

China’s construction industry-linked economy-resources-environment flow in international trade

Qinli Lu

During construction, a large number of resources are consumed; concurrently, a large amount of greenhouse gas is emitted, which contributes to air pollution. There exist close interactions among construction regions. This study examined the main economy-re ...

2020

Regional Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuations

Christian Pröbsting

We exploit differences across U.S. states' exposure to trade to study the effects of changes in the exchange rate on economic activity. Across states, trade-weighted exchange rate depreciations are associated with increased state exports, reduced state une ...

2020

Footprint of SO2 in China's international trade and the interregional hotspot analysis

Qinli Lu

SO2, which is one of key components that can deteriorate the environment, can be relocated by international trade. Based on the EORA, the EDGAR databases and input-output model, this study calculated China's SO2 emissions caused by import and export, and p ...

ELSEVIER SCI LTD2020

Iterative Classroom Teaching

Pierre Dillenbourg, Volkan Cevher, Thibault Lucien Christian Asselborn, Louis Pierre Faucon, Shuqing Teresa Yeo, Kamalaruban Parameswaran

We consider the machine teaching problem in a classroom-like setting wherein the teacher has to deliver the same examples to a diverse group of students. Their diversity stems from differences in their initial internal states as well as their learning rate ...

ASSOC ADVANCEMENT ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE2019

Life-history trade-offs and limitations associated with phenotypic adaptation under future ocean warming and elevated salinity

Emma Mary Gibbin, Félix Christen

Little is known about the life-history trade-offs and limitations, and the physiological mechanisms that are associated with phenotypic adaptation to future ocean conditions. To address this knowledge gap, we investigated the within-and trans-generation li ...

ROYAL SOC2019

Optimization of Message Encryption for Real-Time Applications in Embedded Systems

Amir Aminifar

Today, security can no longer be treated as a secondary issue in embedded and cyber-physical systems. Therefore, one of the main challenges in these domains is the design of secure embedded systems under stringent resource constraints and real-time require ...

2018

Optimistic Causal Consistency for Geo-Replicated Key-Value Stores

Willy Zwaenepoel, Diego Didona, Kristina Spirovska

In this paper we present a new approach to implementing causal consistency in geo-replicated data stores, which we call Optimistic Causal Consistency (OCC). The optimism in our approach lies in that updates from a remote data center are immediately made vi ...

Ieee Computer Soc2017

Elastic Program Transformations : Automatically Optimizing the Reliability/Performance Trade-off in Systems Software

Jonas Benedict Wagner

Performance and reliability are important yet conflicting properties of systems software. Software today often crashes, has security vulnerabilities and data loss, while many techniques that could address such issues remain unused due to performance concer ...

EPFL2017

Do Prices Reveal the Presence of Informed Trading?

Pierre Collin Dufresne

Using a comprehensive sample of trades from Schedule 13D filings by activist investors, we study how measures of adverse selection respond to informed trading. We find that on days when activists accumulate shares, measures of adverse selection and of stoc ...

Wiley-Blackwell2015

International portfolios: A comparison of solution methods

Serhiy Stepanchuk

We compare the performance of the perturbation-based (local) portfolio solution method of Devereux & Sutherland (2010a, 2011) with a global solution method. As a test suite we use model specifications that broadly capture features of international financia ...

Elsevier Science Bv2015

Trade policy: Home market effect versus terms-of-trade externality

Chiara Forlati

We study trade policy in a two-sector Krugman (1980) trade model, allowing for wage, import and export subsidies/taxes. We study non-cooperative trade policies, first for each individual instrument and then for the situation where all instruments can be se ...

Elsevier2014

Privacy-Preserving Function Computation by Exploitation of Friendships in Social Networks

Martin Vetterli, Patrick Thiran, Farid Movahedi Naini, Jayakrishnan Unnikrishnan

We study the problem of privacy-preserving computation of functions of data that belong to users in a social network under the assumption that users are willing to share their private data with trusted friends in the network. We demonstrate that such trust ...

Ieee2014

From the Cover: Water-controlled wealth of nations

Andrea Rinaldo, Samir Suweis, Paolo d'Odorico, Amos Maritan

Population growth is in general constrained by food production, which in turn depends on the access to water resources. At a country level, some populations use more water than they control because of their ability to import food and the virtual water requ ...

National Academy of Sciences2013