Publications related to Macroeconomics

GCC Countries Strategic Options in a Global Transition to Zero-Net Emissions

Marc Vielle, Frédéric Louis François Babonneau, Alain Haurie

Using a multi-level perspective approach combined with top-down macroeconomic models, we analyze the situation of the GCC countries in the perspective of a global transition to zero-net emissions before the end of the century. Based on these analyses, we p ...

2023

Can one hear the shape of a target zone?

Max-Olivier Hongler

We develop an exchange rate target zone model with finite exit time and non-Gaussian tails. We show how the tails are a consequence of time-varying investor risk aversion, which generates mean-preserving spreads in the fundamental distribution. We solve ex ...

2023

Monetary Independence And Rollover Crises

Jorge Mondragon Minero

This article shows that the inability to use monetary policy for macroeconomic stabilization leaves a government more vulnerable to a rollover crisis. We study a sovereign default model with self-fulfilling rollover crises, foreign currency debt, and nomin ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC2022

Essays in Monetary Policy and Asset Pricing

Benoit Vincent Sylvain Cornet

This thesis uses machine learning techniques and text data to investigate the relationships that arise between the Fed and financial markets, and their consequences for asset prices. The first chapter, entitled Market Expectations and the Impact of Unconv ...

EPFL2022

Utilizing additive manufacturing and mass customization under capacity constraints

Ralf Seifert, Anna Timonina-Farkas, Rachel Agnès Laetitia Rosemonde Marie Lacroix

Additive manufacturing (AM), originally used for prototyping, is increasingly adopted for custom final part production across different industries. However, printing speed and production volume are two barriers for the adoption of AM for product customizat ...

2023

Sparsely Observed Functional Time Series: Theory and Applications

Tomas Rubin

Functional time series is a temporally ordered sequence of not necessarily independent random curves. While the statistical analysis of such data has been traditionally carried out under the assumption of completely observed functional data, it may well ha ...

EPFL2021

Does Austerity Go Along With Internal Devaluations?

Luisa Lambertini, Christian Pröbsting

Cuts to government spending rather than increases in consumption taxes are statistically associated with internal devaluations in the euro area during the period 2010-2014. Countries that cut spending experienced a decline in nominal wages, rising net expo ...

2019

Does Austerity Go Along with Internal Devaluations?

Luisa Lambertini

Cuts to government spending rather than increases in consumption taxes are statistically associated with internal devaluations in the euro area during the period 2010-2014. Countries that cut spending experienced a decline in nominal wages, rising net expo ...

2019

Dampened expectations in the Phillips Curve: A note

Charles Cosme Henri Dennery

Dampened inflation expectations have a significant impact on the New Keynesian Phillips Curve. This dampening not only flattens the long run Phillips Curve, but it can also lead to a bias in the estimation of its short run slope. It also affects the respon ...

2019

Dynamic prediction-based relocation policies in one-way station-based carsharing systems with complete journey reservations

Nikolaos Geroliminis, Burak Boyaci, Martin Jean Marie Joseph Repoux, Mor Kaspi

In this paper, we study the operations of a one-way station-based carsharing system implementing a complete journey reservation policy. We consider the percentage of served demand as a primary performance measure and analyze the effect of several dynamic s ...

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD2019

Financial Stability and the Macroeconomy : the Role of Bank Liquidity Regulation and Deposit Insurance

Corinne Dubois

The financial crisis of 2007-2009 drew attention to the essential role of banks for the macroeconomy and to the importance of having a resilient financial sector. A vulnerability in the financial sector spills over to the real economy and can drive it into ...

EPFL2018

Asset Pricing When 'This Time Is Different'

Pierre Collin Dufresne

Recent evidence suggests that younger people update beliefs in response to aggregate shocks more than older people. We embed this generational learning bias in an equilibrium model in which agents have recursive preferences and are uncertain about exogenou ...

Oxford Univ Press Inc2017

Expectations-driven cycles in the housing market

Luisa Lambertini

This paper explores the transmission of "news shocks" in a model of the housing market and shows that anticipated signals or beliefs of future macroeconomic developments can generate boom-bust cycles in the housing market and lead to business cycle fluctua ...

2017

Entrepreneurial Behavior: A Reconceptualization and Extension Based on Identity Theory

Marc Gruber

Research summaryEntrepreneurial behavior is core to our understanding of entrepreneurship. Yet, research progress is hindered because most studies adopt a traditional perspective of the construct that is embedded in economic rationality and focused on for- ...

Wiley2017

Preface: Special Section on Energy and Food Security in a Humanitarian Context

Silvia Hostettler

Natural disasters, population growth, social conflicts, and political or structural crises give rise to forced migrations, which can lead to humanitarian emergencies. According to the “UNHCR annual global trends report”, 65.6 million people were displaced ...

2017

Parameter Learning in General Equilibrium: The Asset Pricing Implications

Pierre Collin Dufresne

Parameter learning strongly amplifies the impact of macroeconomic shocks on marginal utility when the representative agent has a preference for early resolution of uncertainty. This occurs as rational belief updating generates subjective long-run consumpti ...

American Economic Association2016

Multi-Directional Structural Component Hybrid Testing System for the Assessment of the Seismic Response of Steel I-Shaped Columns

Dimitrios Lignos, Ahmed Mohamed Ahmed Elkady, Ali Imanpour

The Multi-Directional Hybrid Testing System (MDHTS) at Polytechnique Montreal is an advanced structural testing system that can be used to study the response of large-scale structural components such as columns, walls, or bridge piers subjected to any comb ...

2016

Seismic vulnerability assessment at urban scale for two typical Swiss cities using Risk-UE methodology

Pierino Lestuzzi, Angelo Garofano, Stefano Podesta, Patrick Bischof

This paper contains a seismic assessment at urban scale of the cities of Sion and Martigny in Switzerland. These two cities have been identified for the present research based on their importance regarding size and the characteristics of the building stock ...

Springer2016

Worldwide impacts of climate change on energy for heating and cooling

Marc Vielle, Frédéric Louis François Babonneau, Santosh Ram Joshi

The energy sector is not only a major contributor to greenhouse gases, it is also vulnerable to climate change and will have to adapt to future climate conditions. The objective of this study is to analyze the impacts of changes in future temperatures on t ...

Springer Verlag2015

Essays in Empirical Corporate Finance

Stefano Colonnello

This dissertation consists of three chapters. The first chapter examines whether the availability of credit default swaps (CDS) has consequences for creditor governance. CDSs offer creditors the opportunity to hedge credit risk and may impact their willing ...

EPFL2015