Publications related to Earthquake prediction

Reducing uncertainties in response predictions of earthquake-damaged masonry buildings using data from image-based inspection

Ian Smith, Katrin Beyer, Bryan German Pantoja Rosero, Mathias Christian Haindl Carvallo

Image information about the state of a building after an earthquake, which can be collected without endangering the post-earthquake reconnaissance activities, can be used to reduce uncertainties in response predictions for future seismic events. This paper ...

Springer2024

Seismic Testing of Adjacent Interacting Masonry Structures – Analysis of a Blind Prediction

Katrin Beyer, Igor Tomic, Andrea Penna

Masonry aggregates, which emerged as layouts of cities and villages became denser, make up historical centres all over the world. In these aggregates, neighbouring structures may share structural walls that are joined at the interfaces by mortar or interlo ...

Springer2024

Experimental Investigation on Size-Effect of Rubble Stone Masonry Walls Under In-Plane Horizontal Loading: Overview and Preliminary Results

Katrin Beyer, Savvas Saloustros

Rubble stone masonry is a common construction typology of historical city centres and vernacular architecture. While past earthquakes have shown that it is one of the most vulnerable masonry construction typologies, there are few experimental campaigns giv ...

2024

Roughness Evolution Induced by Third-Body Wear

Jean-François Molinari, Tobias Brink, Antonio Joaquin Garcia Suarez

Surface roughness is a key factor when it comes to friction and wear, as well as to other physical properties. These phenomena are controlled by mechanisms acting at small scales, in which the topography of apparently flat surfaces is revealed. Roughness i ...

2024

Towards real-time digital twins for post-earthquake damage assessment of masonry buildings

Katrin Beyer, Radhakrishna Achanta, Bryan German Pantoja Rosero

Currently, post-earthquake assessment is performed visually, which implies that inspectors visit the damaged buildings and, based on their expertise, assign a damage grade. Yet, visual inspection is subjective, time-consuming and difficult to document. In ...

2023

Nucleation, propagation, and scale dependence of laboratory frictional ruptures; implications for earthquake mechanics

Federica Paglialunga

Earthquakes are natural phenomena that cause ground shaking and damage to people and infrastructures. Despite significant progress achieved in understanding how earthquakes start, propagate, and arrest, many aspects of their physics and mechanics remain no ...

EPFL2023

Three-dimensional fluid-driven frictional ruptures: theory and applications

Alexis Alejandro Sáez Uribe

Fluid-driven frictional ruptures are important in a broad range of subsurface engineering technologies and natural earthquake-related phenomena. Some examples of subsurface operations where borehole fluid injections can induce frictional slip are deep geot ...

EPFL2023

Seismic Testing of Adjacent Interacting Masonry Structures

Katrin Beyer, Igor Tomic, Andrea Penna

Masonry buildings form building aggregates around the world in historical centers, which developed as the layout of the city or village densified. In these aggregates, adjacent buildings can share structural walls, connected at the interfaces by interlocki ...

2023

Friction and fracture: richness and complexity in dynamic rupture

Thibault Didier Roch

Understanding how things break and slide is of paramount importance to describe the dynamics of a broad range of physical systems. This includes day-to-day problems such as the breaking of a glass of wine or the sliding of skis on snow, but also engineerin ...

EPFL2023

Lessons learned from a prediction and postdiction of a shake table test on an unreinforced masonry aggregate

Katrin Beyer, Igor Tomic

Historical centers of Europe and Croatia are often formed by unreinforced masonry building aggregates that developed as the layout of the city or village was densified. In these aggregates, adjacent buildings can share structural walls with an older and a ...

2023

The use of ductile steel fuses for the seismic protection of acceleration sensitive non- structural components: Numerical and Experimental verification

Dimitrios Lignos, Ahmed Mohamed Ahmed Elkady

Recent seismic events have showcased the vulnerability of non-structural components to even low- or moderate-intensity earthquakes that occur far more frequently than design-basis ones. Thus, community-critical buildings, such as hospitals, telecommunicati ...

EEME2023

Towards instability-free welded moment connections

Dimitrios Lignos, Andronikos Skiadopoulos

In capacity-designed steel moment resisting frames (MRFs), inelastic deformations are mostly concentrated in the steel beams and the column fixed ends of the first story, while the participation of the panel zones in energy dissipation is limited. In such ...

2023

Influence of Viscous Lubricant on Nucleation and Propagation of Frictional Ruptures

Marie Estelle Solange Violay, François Xavier Thibault Passelègue, Federica Paglialunga

Fluids are pervasive in the Earth's crust and saturate fractures and faults. The combination of fluids and gouge layers developing along faults can generate fluids of different viscosities. Such viscous fluids were found to influence the reactivation, fric ...

2023

Automated post-earthquake damage assessment of stone masonry buildings integrating machine learning, computer vision, and physics-based modeling

Bryan German Pantoja Rosero

Current post-earthquake damage assessment methodologies are not only time-consuming but also subjective in nature and difficult to document. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence and technological devices make it possible to accomplish this task a ...

EPFL2023

Seismic Assessment and Retrofit of Pre-Northridge High Rise Steel Moment Resisting Frame Buildings with Bilinear Oil Dampers

Dimitrios Lignos

This paper presents quantitative information on the effectiveness of seismic retrofit solutions using bilinear oil dampers for seismically deficient existing tall steel buildings. For this purpose, a benchmark 40-story steel space moment-resisting frame bu ...

MDPI2023

A multi-disciplinary view on earthquake science

Marie Estelle Solange Violay

Earthquakes are a natural hazard affecting millions of people globally every year. Researchers are working on understanding the mechanisms of earthquakes and how we can predict them from various angles, such as experimental work, theoretical modeling, and ...

Nature Portfolio2022

Scaling theory for the statistics of slip at frictional interfaces

Matthieu Wyart, Thomas Willem Jan de Geus

Slip at a frictional interface occurs via intermittent events. Understanding how these events are nucleated, can propagate, or stop spontaneously remains a challenge, central to earthquake science and tribology. In the absence of disorder, rate-and-state a ...

AMER PHYSICAL SOC2022

The impact of uncertainties on post-earthquake response predictions of a building with unreinforced masonry walls

Ian Smith, Katrin Beyer, Mathias Christian Haindl Carvallo

In this paper, the impact of several sources of uncertainty on the seismic response of an experimentally tested building is assessed for the case of a post-earthquake scenario. The building comprises unreinforced masonry and reinforced concrete walls. It i ...

2022

A Probabilistic Physics-Based Seismic Hazard Model for the Alborz Region, Iran

Alireza Khodaverdian

The seismic activity rate is one of the most significant factors in seismic hazard modeling. Although it is usually estimated from observed seismicity, a complete picture of the possible earthquakes is not always available since catalogs of the observed ea ...

SEISMOLOGICAL SOC AMER2022

Soil-Structure Interaction effects on the seismic behavior of steel moment resisting frames: Preliminary assessment

Dimitrios Lignos

The purpose of this paper is to assess the influence of soil-structure interaction and site effects on the seismic behavior of steel moment-resisting frames, with a view to describing the underlying “physics” behind the damage mechanisms triggered. We exam ...

European Earthquake Engineering Association2022