Publications related to Probability interpretations

Technosignatures Longevity and Lindy's Law

The probability of detecting technosignatures (i.e., evidence of technological activity beyond Earth) increases with their longevity, or the time interval over which they manifest. Therefore, the assumed distribution of longevities has some bearing on the ...

Iop Publishing Ltd2024

A FEM modelling workflow to simulate THM effects in the rock around nuclear waste packages

Matthias Timothee Stanislas Wojnarowicz

High-level waste, stemming from nuclear electricity generation poses significant environmental and safety concerns. Currently, high-level wastes are stored in interim facilities needing constant monitoring and waiting for a definitive solution. Deep geolog ...

EPFL2024

RANDOMIZED JOINT DIAGONALIZATION OF SYMMETRIC

Daniel Kressner, Haoze He

Given a family of nearly commuting symmetric matrices, we consider the task of computing an orthogonal matrix that nearly diagonalizes every matrix in the family. In this paper, we propose and analyze randomized joint diagonalization (RJD) for performing t ...

Siam Publications2024

Bimanual dynamic grabbing and tossing of objects onto a moving target

Aude Billard, Michael Bosongo Bombile

Bimanual grabbing and tossing of packages onto trays or conveyor belts remains a human activity in the industry. For robots, such a dynamic task requires coordination between two arms and fast adaptation abilities when the tossing target is moving and subj ...

Elsevier2023

Personalized Privacy-Preserving Distributed Learning on Heterogeneous Data

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Aditya Pradeep

One major challenge in distributed learning is to efficiently learn for each client when the data across clients is heterogeneous or non iid (not independent or identically distributed). This provides a significant challenge as the data of the other client ...

2023

Live Birth of a Healthy Child in a Couple with Identical mtDNA Carrying a Pathogenic c.471_477delTTTAAAAinsG Variant in the MOCS2 Gene

Konstantin Popadin, Valeriia Timonina

Molybdenum cofactor deficiency type B (MOCODB; #252160) is an autosomal recessive metabolic disorder that has only been described in 37 affected patients. In this report, we describe the presence of an in-frame homozygous variant (c.471_477delTTTAAAAinsG) ...

MDPI2023

Analysis of a Class of Multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo Algorithms Based on Independent Metropolis–Hastings

Fabio Nobile, Juan Pablo Madrigal Cianci

In this work, we present, analyze, and implement a class of multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo(ML-MCMC) algorithms based on independent Metropolis--Hastings proposals for Bayesian inverse problems. In this context, the likelihood function involves solving ...

2023

Influence of advanced footwear technology on sub-2 hour marathon and other top running performances

Raphaël Gérard Théodore Michel Marie de Deloÿe et Fourcade de Fondeville

In 2019, Eliud Kipchoge ran a sub-two hour marathon wearing Nike's Alphafly shoes. Despite being the fastest marathon time ever recorded, it wasn't officially recognized as race conditions were tightly controlled to maximize his success. Besides, Kipchoge' ...

WALTER DE GRUYTER GMBH2022

A Functional Perspective on Information Measures

Amedeo Roberto Esposito

Since the birth of Information Theory, researchers have defined and exploited various information measures, as well as endowed them with operational meanings. Some were born as a "solution to a problem", like Shannon's Entropy and Mutual Information. Other ...

EPFL2022

Toward Mobile Distributed Ledgers

Boi Faltings, Sujit Prakash Gujar, Dimitrios Chatzopoulos, Anurag Jain

Advances in mobile computing have paved the way for new types of distributed applications that can be executed solely by mobile devices on Device-to-Device (D2D) ecosystems (e.g., crowdsensing). Sophisticated applications, like cryptocurrencies, need distr ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2022

On Approximations of Data-Driven Chance Constrained Programs over Wasserstein Balls

Daniel Kuhn, Zhi Chen, Wolfram Wiesemann

Distributionally robust chance constrained programs minimize a deterministic cost function subject to the satisfaction of one or more safety conditions with high probability, given that the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters affec ...

2023

HIERARCHICAL MARKOV CHAIN MONTE CARLO METHODS FOR BAYESIAN INVERSE PROBLEMS

Juan Pablo Madrigal Cianci

This thesis is devoted to the construction, analysis, and implementation of two types of hierarchical Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for the solution of large-scale Bayesian Inverse Problems (BIP). The first hierarchical method we present is base ...

EPFL2022

Waterborne virus transport and the associated risks in a large lake

Tamar Kohn, Xavier Fernandez Cassi, Chaojie Li, Timothy R. Julian

Waterborne enteric viruses in lakes, especially at recreational water sites, may have a negative impact on human health. However, their fate and transport in lakes are poorly understood. In this study, we propose a coupled water quality and quantitative mi ...

2022

A Pareto Dominance Principle for Data-Driven Optimization

Daniel Kuhn, Tobias Sutter

We propose a statistically optimal approach to construct data-driven decisions for stochastic optimization problems. Fundamentally, a data-driven decision is simply a function that maps the available training data to a feasible action. It can always be exp ...

2024

Estimation of separable direct and indirect effects in continuous time

Mats Julius Stensrud

Many research questions involve time-to-event outcomes that can be prevented from occurring due to competing events. In these settings, we must be careful about the causal interpretation of classical statistical estimands. In particular, estimands on the h ...

2021

Predicting involuntary hospitalization in psychiatry: A machine learning investigation

Mehdi Gholam

Background Coercion in psychiatry is a controversial issue. Identifying its predictors and their interaction using traditional statistical methods is difficult, given the large number of variables involved. The purpose of this study was to use machine-lear ...

CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS2021

Generalization Error Bounds Via Rényi-, f-Divergences and Maximal Leakage

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Amedeo Roberto Esposito, Ibrahim Issa

In this work, the probability of an event under some joint distribution is bounded by measuring it with the product of the marginals instead (which is typically easier to analyze) together with a measure of the dependence between the two random variables. ...

2021

Discrete-Choice Mining of Social Processes

Victor Kristof

Poor decisions and selfish behaviors give rise to seemingly intractable global problems, such as the lack of transparency in democratic processes, the spread of conspiracy theories, and the rise in greenhouse gas emissions. However, people are more predict ...

EPFL2021

The Surface Quasi-geostrophic Equation With Random Diffusion

Klaus Martin Widmayer

Consider the surface quasi-geostrophic equation with random diffusion, white in time. We show global existence and uniqueness in high probability for the associated Cauchy problem satisfying a Gevrey type bound. This article is inspired by a recent work of ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS2020

Robust Generalization via $\alpha$-Mutual Information

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Amedeo Roberto Esposito, Ibrahim Issa

The aim of this work is to provide bounds connecting two probability measures of the same event using Rényi

\alpha

-Divergences and Sibson’s

\alpha

-Mutual Information, a generalization of respectively the Kullback-Leibler Divergence and Shannon’s Mutual ...

ETHZ2020