Concept

Ensemble forecasting

Related publications (27)

Predictive Analysis of Errors During Robot-Mediated Gamified Training

Pierre Dillenbourg, Arzu Güneysu Özgür, Nevena Dresevic, Nihal Ezgi Yücetürk, Marija Katanic

This paper presents our approach to predicting future error-related events in a robot-mediated gamified phys- ical training activity for stroke patients. The ability to predict future error under such conditions suggests the existence of distinguishable fe ...

IEEE2022

A Bayesian data assimilation framework for lake 3D hydrodynamic models with a physics-preserving particle filtering method using SPUX-MITgcm v1

Damien Bouffard, Camille Roland Marie Minaudo, Cintia Luz Ramon Casanas, Firat Ozdemir

We present a Bayesian inference for a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model of Lake Geneva with stochastic weather forcing and high-frequency observational datasets. This is achieved by coupling a Bayesian inference package, SPUX, with a hydrodynamics packa ...

COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH2022

Deep Learning Methods for Socially-Aware Human Trajectory Forecasting

Parth Ashit Kothari

The ability to forecast human motion, called ``human trajectory forecasting", is a critical requirement for mobility applications such as autonomous driving and robot navigation. Humans plan their path taking into account what might happen in the future. S ...

EPFL2022

Secondary ice production in summer clouds over the Antarctic coast: an underappreciated process in atmospheric models

Athanasios Nenes, Alexis Berne, Georgia Sotiropoulou, Etienne Gabriel Henri Vignon

The correct representation of Antarctic clouds in atmospheric models is crucial for accurate projections of the future Antarctic climate. This is particularly true for summer clouds which play a critical role in the surface melting of the ice shelves in th ...

European Geosciences Union2021

Numerical Weather Prediction and Artificial Neural Network Coupling for Wind Energy Forecast

Fernando Porté Agel, Jiannong Fang, Lorenzo Donadio

In the past two decades, wind energy has been under fast development worldwide. The dramatic increase of wind power penetration in electricity production has posed a big challenge to grid integration due to the high uncertainty of wind power. Accurate real ...

2021

Generating Smooth Pose Sequences for Diverse Human Motion Prediction

Mathieu Salzmann, Wei Mao

Recent progress in stochastic motion prediction, i.e., predicting multiple possible future human motions given a single past pose sequence, has led to producing truly diverse future motions and even providing control over the motion of some body parts. How ...

IEEE2021

Uncertainty analyses of spent nuclear fuel decay heat calculations using SCALE modules

Andreas Pautz, Dimitri Rochman, Stefano Caruso

Decay heat residuals of spent nuclear fuel (SNF), i.e., the differences between calculations and measurements, were obtained previously for various spent fuel assemblies (SFA) using the Polaris module of the SCALE code system. In this paper, we compare dec ...

2021