Publications related to Latent and observable variables

Robust machine learning for neuroscientific inference

Modern neuroscience research is generating increasingly large datasets, from recording thousands of neurons over long timescales to behavioral recordings of animals spanning weeks, months, or even years. Despite a great variety in recording setups and expe ...

EPFL2024

An Ordinal Latent Variable Model of Conflict Intensity

Robert West

Measuring the intensity of events is crucial for monitoring and tracking armed conflict. Advances in automated event extraction have yielded massive data sets of '' who did what to whom '' micro-records that enable datadriven approaches to monitoring confl ...

Assoc Computational Linguistics-Acl2023

Networks with correlated edge processes

Sofia Charlotta Olhede, Mária Süveges

This article proposes methods to model non-stationary temporal graph processes motivated by a hospital interaction data set. This corresponds to modelling the observation of edge variables indicating interactions between pairs of nodes exhibiting dependenc ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS2023

Comparison of questionnaire items for discomfort glare studies in daylit spaces

Marilyne Andersen, Jan Wienold, Caroline Karmann, Sneha Jain, Clotilde Marie A Pierson, Geraldine Cai Ting Quek

When studying discomfort glare, researchers tend to rely on a single questionnaire item to obtain user evaluations. It is unclear whether the choice of questionnaire item affects the distribution of user responses and leads to inconsistencies between studi ...

2023

Novel Ordering-based Approaches for Causal Structure Learning in the Presence of Unobserved Variables

We propose ordering-based approaches for learning the maximal ancestral graph (MAG) of a structural equation model (SEM) up to its Markov equivalence class (MEC) in the presence of unobserved variables. Existing ordering-based methods in the literature rec ...

Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)2023

Model-Based Clustering of Trends and Cycles of Nitrate Concentrations in Rivers Across France

Camille Roland Marie Minaudo

Elevated nitrate from human activity causes ecosystem and economic harm globally. The factors that control the spatiotemporal dynamics of riverine nitrate concentration remain difficult to describe and predict. We analyzed nitrate concentration from 4450 s ...

SPRINGER2023

Causal modelling of heavy-tailed variables and confounders with application to river flow

Anthony Christopher Davison, Valérie Chavez

Confounding variables are a recurrent challenge for causal discovery and inference. In many situations, complex causal mechanisms only manifest themselves in extreme events, or take simpler forms in the extremes. Stimulated by data on extreme river flows a ...

SPRINGER2022

Hiding in Plain Sight: The Issue of Hidden Variables

Yimon Aye, Mahdi Assari

Here we discuss "hidden variables", which are typically introduced during an experiment as a consequence of the application of two independent variables together to create a stimulus. With increased sophistication in modern chemical biology tools and relat ...

AMER CHEMICAL SOC2022

Discrete-Choice Mining of Social Processes

Victor Kristof

Poor decisions and selfish behaviors give rise to seemingly intractable global problems, such as the lack of transparency in democratic processes, the spread of conspiracy theories, and the rise in greenhouse gas emissions. However, people are more predict ...

EPFL2021

Sparsely Observed Functional Time Series: Theory and Applications

Tomas Rubin

Functional time series is a temporally ordered sequence of not necessarily independent random curves. While the statistical analysis of such data has been traditionally carried out under the assumption of completely observed functional data, it may well ha ...

EPFL2021

Adaptive Path Interpolation Method for Sparse Systems: Application to a Censored Block Model

Nicolas Macris, Jean François Emmanuel Barbier, Chun Lam Chan

Recently, a new adaptive path interpolation method has been developed as a simple and versatile scheme to calculate exactly the asymptotic mutual information of Bayesian inference problems defined on dense factor graphs. These include random linear and gen ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2021

Predictors and predictands of linear response in spatially extended systems

Umberto Maria Tomasini

The goal of response theory, in each of its many statistical mechanical formulations, is to predict the perturbed response of a system from the knowledge of the unperturbed state and of the applied perturbation. A new recent angle on the problem focuses on ...

SPRINGER HEIDELBERG2021

Effects of eight neuropsychiatric copy number variants on human brain structure

Bogdan Draganski, Lester Melie Garcia, Borja Rodriguez Herreros, Kuldeep Kumar, Claudia Modenato

Many copy number variants (CNVs) confer risk for the same range of neurodevelopmental symptoms and psychiatric conditions including autism and schizophrenia. Yet, to date neuroimaging studies have typically been carried out one mutation at a time, showing ...

SPRINGERNATURE2021

Sparsely observed functional time series: estimation and prediction

Victor Panaretos, Tomas Rubin

Functional time series analysis, whether based on time or frequency domain methodology, has traditionally been carried out under the assumption of complete observation of the constituent series of curves, assumed stationary. Nevertheless, as is often the c ...

INST MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS2020

Learning Linear Non-Gaussian Causal Models in the Presence of Latent Variables

Negar Kiyavash, Saber Salehkaleybar, Kun Zhang

We consider the problem of learning causal models from observational data generated by linear non-Gaussian acyclic causal models with latent variables. Without considering the effect of latent variables, the inferred causal relationships among the observed ...

Microtome Publishing2020

Personalizable intervention systems to promote healthy behavior change

Igor Kulev

Adopting healthy behaviors can prevent the onset of many adverse health conditions. However, behavior changes are difficult to make, and often, people who like to improve their behaviors do not know how to do that. Personalizable intervention systems could ...

EPFL2020

Instruction, Student Engagement and Learning Outcomes: A Case Study Using Anonymous Social Media in a Face-to-face Classroom

Denis Gillet, Maria Jesus Rodriguez Triana, Adrian Christian Holzer

With the wide availability of mobile devices and the growing interest in social media, numerous applications have emerged to support student engagement in the classroom. There is conflicting evidence, however, on whether the engagement benefits of such app ...

2020

Uncontrolled manifold analysis of the effects of a perturbation-based training on the organization of leg joint variance in cerebellar ataxia

Silvestro Micera

Walking patterns of persons affected by cerebellar ataxia (CA) are characterized by wide stride-to-stride variability ascribable to: the background pathology-related sensory-motor noise; the motor redundancy, i.e., an excess of elemental degrees of freedom ...

SPRINGER2021

Predicting learners' effortful behaviour in adaptive assessment using multimodal data

Kshitij Sharma, Jennifer Kaitlyn Olsen

Many factors influence learners' performance on an activity beyond the knowledge required. Learners' on-task effort has been acknowledged for strongly relating to their educational outcomes, reflecting how actively they are engaged in that activity. Howeve ...

ASSOC COMPUTING MACHINERY2020

The Tonal Diffusion Model

Martin Alois Rohrmeier, Fabian Claude Moss, Robert Lieck

Pitch-class distributions are of central relevance in music information retrieval, computational musicology and various other fields, such as music perception and cognition. However, despite their structure being closely related to the cognitively and musi ...

2020