Publications related to Inflation

Survey experiments on economic expectations

In this chapter, we discuss field experiments in surveys that are conducted with the purpose of learning about expectation formation and the link between expectations and behavior. We begin by reviewing the rationale for conducting experiments within surve ...

Academic Press2023

Gradient-based optimisation of the conditional-value-at-risk using the multi-level Monte Carlo method

Fabio Nobile, Sundar Subramaniam Ganesh

In this work, we tackle the problem of minimising the Conditional-Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of output quantities of complex differential models with random input data, using gradient-based approaches in combination with the Multi-Level Monte Carlo (MLMC) method ...

2023

Magnetogenesis in Higgs-Starobinsky inflation

Oleksandr Sobol

In the framework of mixed Higgs-Starobinsky inflation, we consider the generation of Abelian gauge fields due to their nonminimal coupling to gravity (in two different formulations of gravity-metric and Palatini). We couple the gauge-field invariants F mu ...

American Physical Society2022

Essays in Monetary Policy and Asset Pricing

Benoit Vincent Sylvain Cornet

This thesis uses machine learning techniques and text data to investigate the relationships that arise between the Fed and financial markets, and their consequences for asset prices. The first chapter, entitled Market Expectations and the Impact of Unconv ...

EPFL2022

Standard model meets gravity: Electroweak symmetry breaking and inflation

Mikhail Chapochnikov, Andrey Shkerin, Sebastian Zell

We propose a model for combining the Standard Model (SM) with gravity. It relies on a nonminimal coupling of the Higgs field to the Ricci scalar and on the Palatini formulation of gravity. Without introducing any new degrees of freedom in addition to those ...

American Physical Society2021

A Multimodal, Enveloping Soft Gripper: Shape Conformation, Bioinspired Adhesion, and Expansion-Driven Suction

Yufei Hao, Shantonu Biswas

A key challenge in robotics is to create efficient methods for grasping objects with diverse shapes, sizes, poses, and properties. Grasping with hand-like end effectors often requires careful selection of hand orientation and finger placement. Here, we pre ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2021

Higgs inflation in Einstein-Cartan gravity

Mikhail Chapochnikov, Andrey Shkerin, Inar Timiryasov, Sebastian Zell

We study inflation driven by the Higgs field in the Einstein-Cartan formulation of gravity. In this theory, the presence of the Holst and Nieh-Yan terms with the Higgs field non-minimally coupled to them leads to three additional coupling constants. For a ...

IOP PUBLISHING LTD2021

Monopsony with nominal rigidities: An inverted Phillips Curve

Charles Cosme Henri Dennery

With nominal wage rigidities, it is crucial to distinguish whether wages are set by workers or firms — whether we have monopoly or monopsony power. This paper provides a model of monopsony power in the labour market and a monopsonistic Phillips Curve. If w ...

2020

From NANOGrav to LIGO with metastable cosmic strings

Valerie Fiona Domcke

We interpret the recent NANOGrav results in terms of a stochastic gravitational wave background from metastable cosmic strings. The observed amplitude of a stochastic signal can be translated into a range for the cosmic string tension and the mass of magne ...

2020

Regional Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuations

Christian Pröbsting

We exploit differences across U.S. states' exposure to trade to study the effects of changes in the exchange rate on economic activity. Across states, trade-weighted exchange rate depreciations are associated with increased state exports, reduced state une ...

2020

Quantum effects in Palatini Higgs inflation

Mikhail Chapochnikov, Andrey Shkerin, Sebastian Zell

We study quantum effects in Higgs inflation in the Palatini formulation of gravity, in which the metric and connection are treated as independent variables. We exploit the fact that the cutoff, above which perturbation theory breaks down, is higher than th ...

IOP PUBLISHING LTD2020

Job turnover, expectations, and the Phillips Curve

Charles Cosme Henri Dennery

Job turnover makes a wage Phillips Curve less forward-looking, with a smaller coefficient for inflation expectations. Workers discount future wage income with a low discount factor if there is a strong flow of job turnover; this implies that future inflati ...

2019

Austerity in the Aftermath of the Great Recession

Cross-country differences in austerity, defined as government purchases below forecast, account for 75 percent of the observed cross-sectional variation in GDP in advanced economies during 2010-2014. Statistically, austerity is associated with lower GDP, l ...

2020

Die multiplen Rechenschaftspflichten von öffentlichen Unternehmen gegenüber dem Staat - Eine empirische Typologie der Entstehung und des Managements inkohärenter Erwartungen

Fabian Liechti

State-owned enterprises (SOEs) provide important services such as power supply, postal services and public transportation. In doing this, SOEs operate at the intersection of political/regulatory and economic expectations. Therefore, SOEs are commonly consi ...

EPFL2019

Backreaction of electromagnetic fields and the Schwinger effect in pseudoscalar inflation magnetogenesis

Oleksandr Sobol

We study magnetogenesis in axionlike inflation driven by a pseudoscalar field phi coupled axially to the electromagnetic (EM) field (beta/M-p)phi F-mu nu(F) over tilde mu nu with dimensionless coupling constant beta. A set of equations for the inflaton fie ...

American Physical Society2019

Comparative analysis of time-based and quadrat sampling in seasonal population dynamics of intermediate hosts of human schistosomes

Andrea Rinaldo, Theophile Mande, Francisco Javier Perez Saez

Background Despite their importance for designing and evaluating schistosomiasis control trials, little attention in the literature has been dedicated to sampling protocols for the parasite's snail intermediate hosts since their first development. We propo ...

2019

Ability of LIGO and LISA to probe the equation of state of the early Universe

Daniel Garcia Figueroa

The expansion history of the Universe between the end of inflation and the onset of radiation-domination (RD) is currently unknown. If the equation of state during this period is stiffer than that of radiation, w > 1/3, the gravitational wave (GW) backgrou ...

IOP PUBLISHING LTD2019

Magnetogenesis In Natural Inflation Model

Oleksandr Sobol

We study the process of inflationary magnetogenesis in the natural single-field inflation model, whose parameters are chosen in accordance with the recent observations by the Planck collaboration [1]. The conformal invariance of the Maxwell action is broke ...

BOGOLYUBOV INST THEORETICAL PHYSICS NATL ACAD SCI UKRAINE2018

On the Delays in Time-Varying Networks: Does Larger Service-Rate Variance Imply Larger Delays?

Patrick Thiran, Sébastien Christophe Henri

In all networks, link or route capacities fluctuate for multiple reasons, e.g., fading and multi-path effects on wireless channels, interference and contending users on a shared medium, varying loads in WAN routers, impedance changes on power-line channels ...

2018

Expectations-driven cycles in the housing market

Luisa Lambertini

This paper explores the transmission of "news shocks" in a model of the housing market and shows that anticipated signals or beliefs of future macroeconomic developments can generate boom-bust cycles in the housing market and lead to business cycle fluctua ...

2017