Publications by Andrea Rinaldo

Epidemicity conditions in spatial models of infectious diseases

We review the work that has been conducted in the past years to understand when and why significant epidemics may arise even though a disease is not bound to become endemic in the long run i.e. subthreshold outbreaks. In particular, we describe the methods ...

2025

Preface to Ecohydrology of Inland and Coastal Waters in Honour of Ignacio Rodriguez-Iturbe

Andrea Rinaldo

2025

A stochastic theory of urban metabolism

Andrea Rinaldo, Gabriele Manoli

A current tenet in the science of cities is the emergence of power-law relations between population size and a variety of urban indicators, echoing allometric scaling in living organisms akin to Kleiber’s law. However fascinating, existing scaling theories ...

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences2025

Sufficient reproduction numbers to prevent recurrent epidemics

Andrea Rinaldo, Cristiano Trevisin

Current practice in the design and evaluation of control measures in disease ecology and epidemiology, including vaccination, is largely based on reproduction numbers (RNs), which represent prognostic indices of long‐term disease transmission, both in naïv ...

Wiley2025

Evaluating nitrate removal and travel times in a bare deciduous forest soil through a column tracer experiment

Manon Frutschi, Andrea Rinaldo, Simiao Wang, Filippo Miele

In response to increased atmospheric nitrogen deposition, understanding the fate of nitrate within forest soils is crucial for predicting the ecological trajectories of soil microbial communities. This study leverages a controlled soil column experiment to ...

2025

Changes in the Flowing Drainage Network and Stream Chemistry During Rainfall Events for Two Pre-alpine Catchments

Andrea Rinaldo, Paolo Benettin, Izabela Bujak-Ozga, Jana Freiin von Freyberg

Many headwater catchments contain non-perennial streams that flow only during wet conditions or in response to rainfall events. The onset and cessation of flow result in a dynamic stream network that periodically expands and contracts. The onset of flow ca ...

COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH2025

Epidemiological indices with multiple circulating pathogen strains

Andrea Rinaldo, Cristiano Trevisin

Epidemiological indicators (e.g. reproduction numbers and epidemicity indices) describe long- and short-term behaviour of ongoing epidemics. Their evolving values provide context for designing control measures because maintaining both indices below suitabl ...

2025

Statistical characterization of erosion and sediment transport mechanics in shallow tidal environments - Part 1: Erosion dynamics

Andrea Rinaldo

Reliable descriptions of erosion events are foundational to effective frameworks relevant to the fate of tidal landscape evolution. Besides the rhythmic, predictable action of tidal currents, erosion in shallow tidal environments is strongly influenced by ...

COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH2024

Emergent ecological patterns and modelling of gut microbiomes in health and in disease

Andrea Rinaldo

Recent advancements in next-generation sequencing have revolutionized our understanding of the human microbiome. Despite this progress, challenges persist in comprehending the microbiome's influence on disease, hindered by technical complexities in species ...

PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE2024

A Spatially Explicit Model of the Dynamics of Opisthorchis viverrini Spread

Andrea Rinaldo, Cristiano Trevisin

Opisthorchis viverrini is a water-based disease-causing parasite whose public health implications are relevant in Southeast Asia. Untreated or chronic infections often lead to severe hepatobiliary morbidity including cholangiocarcinoma, a lethal bile duct ...

2024

Toward a metabolic theory of catchments: Scaling of water and carbon fluxes with size

Andrea Rinaldo, Sara Bonetti, Francesca Bassani

Allometric scaling relations are widely used to link biological processes to body size in nature. Several studies have shown that such scaling laws hold also for natural ecosystems, including individual trees and forests, riverine metabolism, and river net ...

National Academy of Sciences2024

Landscape and environmental heterogeneity support coexistence in competitive metacommunities

Andrea Rinaldo, Giorgio Nicoletti

Metapopulation models have been instrumental in quantifying the ecological impact of landscape structure on the survival of a focal species. However, extensions to multiple species with arbitrary dispersal networks often rely on phenomenological assumption ...

National Academy of Sciences2024

Comparison of the Dynamics of the Flowing Drainage Network and Water Chemistry for Four Headwater Catchments

Ilja van Meerveld, Andrea Rinaldo, Izabela Bujak-Ozga, Jana Freiin von Freyberg

Ecohydrology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.The re-emergence of water in dry stream reaches affects streamwater chemistry due to the flushing of sediment and nutrients from previously dry channels and the increased connectivity between hillslopes and s ...

2024

Statistical characterization of erosion and sediment transport mechanics in shallow tidal environments - Part 2: Suspended sediment dynamics

Andrea Rinaldo

A proper understanding of sediment resuspension and transport processes is key to the morphodynamics of shallow tidal environments. However, a complete spatial and temporal coverage of suspended sediment concentration (SSC) to describe these processes is h ...

COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH2024

Size-related variability of oxygen consumption rates in individual human hepatic cells

Andrea Rinaldo

Accurate descriptions of the variability in single-cell oxygen consumption and its size-dependency are key to establishing more robust tissue models. By combining microfabricated devices with multiparameter identification algorithms, we demonstrate that si ...

2024

Data-driven statistical optimization of a groundwater monitoring network

Andrea Rinaldo, Gianluca Botter

We propose a comparative study of three different methods aimed at optimizing existing groundwater monitoring networks. Monitoring piezometric heads in subsurface porous formations is crucial at regional scales to properly characterize the relevant subsurf ...

Elsevier2024

Ecohydrology amid a rapidly changing world

Andrea Rinaldo

When the substrate for ecological interactions isthe river network, the emerging universality ofform is reflected in its function as ecological corridor, with implications. ...

SPRINGERNATURE2024

Epidemicity indices and reproduction numbers from infectious disease data in connected human populations

Andrea Rinaldo, Lorenzo Mari, Marino Gatto, Cristiano Trevisin

We focus on distinctive data-driven measures of the fate of ongoing epidemics. The relevance of our pursuit is suggested by recent results proving that the short-term temporal evolution of infection spread is described by an epidemicity index related to th ...

2024

Morphometry of Tidal Meander Cutoffs Indicates Similarity to Fluvial Morphodynamics

Andrea Rinaldo, Peng Gao

Sinuous channels wandering through coastal wetlands have been thought to lack lateral-migration features like meander cutoffs and oxbows, spurring the broad interpretation that tidal and fluvial meanders differ morphodynamically. Motivated by recent work s ...

Amer Geophysical Union2024

Spatially explicit effective reproduction numbers from incidence and mobility data

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Marino Gatto, Damiano Pasetto, Cristiano Trevisin

Current methods for near real-time estimation of effective reproduction numbers from surveillance data overlook mobility fluxes of infectors and susceptible individuals within a spatially connected network (the metapopulation). Exchanges of infections amon ...

2023