Publications related to Robust Multivariate and Nonlinear Time Series Models

Spectral Estimators for High-Dimensional Matrix Inference

A key challenge across many disciplines is to extract meaningful information from data which is often obscured by noise. These datasets are typically represented as large matrices. Given the current trend of ever-increasing data volumes, with datasets grow ...

EPFL2024

On distributional autoregression and iterated transportation

Victor Panaretos, Laya Ghodrati

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of Double-struck capital R. An order-1 autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov chain, where ...

Wiley2024

Seebeck Coefficient of Ionic Conductors from Bayesian Regression Analysis

We propose a novel approach to evaluating the ionic Seebeck coefficient in electrolytes from relatively short equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations, based on the Green-Kubo theory of linear response and Bayesian regression analysis. By exploiting the ...

Amer Chemical Soc2024

Reliable data-driven decision-making through optimal transport

Bahar Taskesen

Decision-making permeates every aspect of human and societal development, from individuals' daily choices to the complex decisions made by communities and institutions. Central to effective decision-making is the discipline of optimization, which seeks th ...

EPFL2024

Stability: a search for structure

Wouter Jongeneel

In this thesis we study stability from several viewpoints. After covering the practical importance, the rich history and the ever-growing list of manifestations of stability, we study the following. (i) (Statistical identification of stable dynamical syste ...

EPFL2024

Quantifying the Unknown: Data-Driven Approaches and Applications in Energy Systems

Paul Scharnhorst

In light of the challenges posed by climate change and the goals of the Paris Agreement, electricity generation is shifting to a more renewable and decentralized pattern, while the operation of systems like buildings is increasingly electrified. This calls ...

EPFL2024

Random matrix methods for high-dimensional machine learning models

Antoine Philippe Michel Bodin

In the rapidly evolving landscape of machine learning research, neural networks stand out with their ever-expanding number of parameters and reliance on increasingly large datasets. The financial cost and computational resources required for the training p ...

EPFL2024

Data-Driven Control Synthesis using Koopman Operator: A Robust Approach

Alireza Karimi, Mert Eyuboglu, Nathan Russell Powell

This paper proposes a data-driven control design method for nonlinear systems that builds upon the Koopman operator framework. In particular, the Koopman operator is used to lift the nonlinear dynamics to a higher-dimensional space where the so-called obse ...

2024

A Method of Moments Estimator for Interacting Particle Systems and their Mean Field Limit

Andrea Zanoni, Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We study the problem of learning unknown parameters in stochastic interacting particle systems with polynomial drift, interaction, and diffusion functions from the path of one single particle in the system. Our estimator is obtained by solving a linear sys ...

Siam Publications2024

Statistical Inference for Inverse Problems: From Sparsity-Based Methods to Neural Networks

Pakshal Narendra Bohra

In inverse problems, the task is to reconstruct an unknown signal from its possibly noise-corrupted measurements. Penalized-likelihood-based estimation and Bayesian estimation are two powerful statistical paradigms for the resolution of such problems. They ...

EPFL2024

On the use of Cramér-Rao Lower Bound for least-variance circuit parameters identification of Li-ion cells

Mario Paolone, Vladimir Sovljanski

Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy (EIS) and Equivalent Circuit Models (ECMs) are widely used to characterize the impedance and estimate parameters of electrochemical systems such as batteries. We use a generic ECM with ten parameters grouped to model ...

2024

Optimal Depth of Discharge for Electric Batteries with Robust Capacity-Shrinkage Estimator

Thomas Alois Weber

A user’s benefit from the energy stored in a battery over its lifetime depends on the time-varying characteristics of the battery, which are in turn affected by the chosen usage behavior. Both the capacity shrinkage and the number of lifetime cycles are st ...

2024

OASIS: An integrated optimisation framework for activity scheduling

Janody Pougala

Activity-based models offer the potential for a far deeper understanding of daily mobility behaviour than trip-based models. Based on the fundamental assumption that travel demand is derived from the need to do activities, they are flexible tools that aim ...

EPFL2024

Robust machine learning for neuroscientific inference

Steffen Schneider

Modern neuroscience research is generating increasingly large datasets, from recording thousands of neurons over long timescales to behavioral recordings of animals spanning weeks, months, or even years. Despite a great variety in recording setups and expe ...

EPFL2024

Graph generative deep learning models with an application to circuit topologies

Igor Krawczuk

Modern integrated circuits are tiny yet incredibly complex technological artifacts, composed of millions and billions of individual structures working in unison. Managing their complexity and facilitating their design drove part of the co-evolution of mode ...

EPFL2024

Anisotropic Adaptive Finite Elements for a p-Laplacian Problem

Marco Picasso, Paride Passelli

The p-Laplacian problem -del & sdot; ((mu + |del u|(p-2))del u) = f is considered, where mu is a given positive number. An anisotropic a posteriori residual-based error estimator is presented. The error estimator is shown to be equivalent, up to higher ord ...

Walter De Gruyter Gmbh2024

Data-driven statistical optimization of a groundwater monitoring network

Andrea Rinaldo, Gianluca Botter

We propose a comparative study of three different methods aimed at optimizing existing groundwater monitoring networks. Monitoring piezometric heads in subsurface porous formations is crucial at regional scales to properly characterize the relevant subsurf ...

Elsevier2024

Data set for control of Ge island coalescence for the formation of nanowires on silicon

Alok Rudra, Anna Fontcuberta i Morral, Sara Marti Sanchez, Santhanu Panikar Ramanandan, Joel René Sapera, Vladimir Dubrovskii

This document contains all the data and the details of the analysis used in the manuscript titled " Control of Ge island coalescence for the formation of nanowires on silicon." https://doi.org/10.1039/D3NH00573A ...

EPFL Infoscience2024

TIC-TAC: A Framework for Improved Covariance Estimation in Deep Heteroscedastic Regression

Mathieu Salzmann, Alexandre Massoud Alahi, Megh Hiren Shukla

Deep heteroscedastic regression involves jointly optimizing the mean and covariance of the predicted distribution using the negative log-likelihood. However, recent works show that this may result in sub-optimal convergence due to the challenges associated ...

2024

Seeking the new, learning from the unexpected: Computational models of surprise and novelty in the brain

Alireza Modirshanechi

Human babies have a natural desire to interact with new toys and objects, through which they learn how the world around them works, e.g., that glass shatters when dropped, but a rubber ball does not. When their predictions are proven incorrect, such as whe ...

EPFL2024