Publication

Interpretation of Continuous-Time Autoregressive Processes as Random Exponential Splines

Michaël Unser, Julien René Pierre Fageot, John Paul Ward
2015
Conference Papers

Abstract

We consider the class of continuous-time autoregressive (CAR) processes driven by (possibly non-Gaussian) Lévy white noises. When the excitation is an impulsive noise, also known as compound Poisson noise, the associated CAR process is a random non-uniform exponential spline. Therefore, Poisson-type processes are relatively easy to understand in the sense that they have a finite rate of innovation. We show in this paper that any CAR process is the limit in distribution of a sequence of CAR processes driven by impulsive noises. Hence, we provide a new interpretation of general CAR processes as limits of random exponential splines. We illustrate our result with simulations.

Official source

https://infoscience.epfl.ch/entities/publication/e9b71664-c26e-4b68-b260-c99e656b90f0

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Michaël Unser, Julien René Pierre Fageot, John Paul Ward
2015
Conference Papers

Abstract

Official source

https://infoscience.epfl.ch/entities/publication/e9b71664-c26e-4b68-b260-c99e656b90f0

About this result

Related concepts (23)

Autoregressive model

In statistics, econometrics, and signal processing, an autoregressive (AR) model is a representation of a type of random process; as such, it is used to describe certain time-varying processes in nature, economics, behavior, etc. The autoregressive model specifies that the output variable depends linearly on its own previous values and on a stochastic term (an imperfectly predictable term); thus the model is in the form of a stochastic difference equation (or recurrence relation which should not be confused with differential equation).

Stationary process

In mathematics and statistics, a stationary process (or a strict/strictly stationary process or strong/strongly stationary process) is a stochastic process whose unconditional joint probability distribution does not change when shifted in time. Consequently, parameters such as mean and variance also do not change over time. If you draw a line through the middle of a stationary process then it should be flat; it may have 'seasonal' cycles around the trend line, but overall it does not trend up nor down.

Time series

In mathematics, a time series is a series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. Most commonly, a time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time. Thus it is a sequence of discrete-time data. Examples of time series are heights of ocean tides, counts of sunspots, and the daily closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. A time series is very frequently plotted via a run chart (which is a temporal line chart).

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