Quantification of Equivalent Strut Modeling Uncertainty and Its Effects on the Seismic Performance of Masonry Infilled Reinforced Concrete Frames

Quantifying aleatory and epistemic uncertainty in nonlinear structural response simulation is key to robust performance-based seismic assessments. This paper focuses on the modeling parameters that are used to describe the nonlinear force-deformation response of the equivalent infill struts used in models of reinforced concrete frames with infills. The variability in several parameters is characterized by developing empirical and theoretical multivariate probability distributions based on the deduced-to-predicted ratios derived using data from 113 physical experiments. The effect of the uncertainty in the infill strut modeling parameters on maximum story drift ratios and associated limit state fragility functions is investigated for a 3-story reinforced concrete frame building with infills. Multiple stripe analysis is performed using hazard-consistent ground motions. Relative to when only record-to-record variability is considered, modeling parameter uncertainty has a non-negligible effect on the dispersion of the maximum story drift ratios, and affects both the median and dispersion of the limit state fragilities.