Publications related to An extension of the stochastic sewing lemma and applications to fractional stochastic calculus

Quantifying uncertain system outputs via the multi-level Monte Carlo method --- distribution and robustness measures

Fabio Nobile, Sebastian Krumscheid, Sundar Subramaniam Ganesh

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the probability distribution, the quantile or the conditional expectation above the quantile, the so called conditional-value-at-risk, of output quantities of complex random differential models by the MLM ...

2023

Differential Entropy of the Conditional Expectation Under Additive Gaussian Noise

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Alper Köse, Ahmet Arda Atalik

The conditional mean is a fundamental and important quantity whose applications include the theories of estimation and rate-distortion. It is also notoriously difficult to work with. This paper establishes novel bounds on the differential entropy of the co ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2022

Differential Entropy of the Conditional Expectation under Gaussian Noise

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Alper Köse, Ahmet Arda Atalik

This paper considers an additive Gaussian noise channel with arbitrarily distributed finite variance input signals. It studies the differential entropy of the minimum mean-square error (MMSE) estimator and provides a new lower bound which connects the diff ...

IEEE2021

Active contraction of cardiac cells: a reduced model for sarcomere dynamics with cooperative interactions

Alfio Quarteroni, Luca Dede', Francesco Regazzoni

We propose a reduced ODE model for the mechanical activation of cardiac myofilaments, which is based on explicit spatial representation of nearest-neighbour interactions. Our model is derived from the cooperative Markov Chain model of Washio et al. (Cell M ...

SPRINGER HEIDELBERG2018

A bottom-up stochastic model to predict building occupants' time-dependent activities

Jean-Louis Scartezzini, Darren Robinson, Frédéric Haldi, Urs Wilke

A bottom-up modelling approach together with a set of calibration methodologies is presented to predict residential building occupants' time-dependent activities, for use in dynamic building simulations. The stochastic model to predict activity chains is c ...

Elsevier2013

Conditional Density Models for Asset Pricing

Damir Filipovic

We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the asset is driven by Browni ...

World Scientific Publishing2012

Conditional probabilities in the excursion set theory: generic barriers and non-Gaussian initial conditions

Michele Maggiore, Andrea De Simone

The excursion set theory, where density perturbations evolve stochastically with the smoothing scale, provides a method for computing the dark matter halo mass function. The computation of the mass function is mapped into the so-called first-passage time p ...

Blackwell Publishing Ltd, Oxford2011

Propagation Models for Biochemical Reaction Networks

Maria-Emanuela-Canini Mateescu

In this thesis we investigate different ways of approximating the solution of the chemical master equation (CME). The CME is a system of differential equations that models the stochastic transient behaviour of biochemical reaction networks. It does so by d ...

EPFL2011

A Lagrangian, stochastic modeling framework for multi-phase flow in porous media

Ivan Lunati, Manav Tyagi

Many of the complex physical processes relevant for compositional multi-phase flow in porous media are well understood at the pore-scale level. In order to study CO2 storage in sub-surface formations, however, it is not feasible to perform simulations at t ...

2008

Closed-form solutions to stochastic switching problems

Erwan Morellec

This paper studies the price of an asset depending on both a fundamental and possible interventions of an authority. Using the martingale approach in continuous time, we provide closed-form solutions to switching problems involving irreversible, state depe ...

2008