Concept

Risque financier systémique

Publications associées (27)

Machine Learning for Modeling Stock Returns

Throughout history, the pace of knowledge and information sharing has evolved into an unthinkable speed and media. At the end of the XVII century, in Europe, the ideas that would shape the "Age of Enlightenment" were slowly being developed in coffeehouses, ...

EPFL2024

Scale effects on efficiency and profitability in the Swiss banking sector

Andreas Fuster

This paper analyzes efficiency and profitability in the Swiss banking sector over the period 1997–2019. We find strong evidence for scale economies: for most banks in the sample, efficiency and profitability increase with bank size. Using an instrumental v ...

2022

Financial Risk Management with Machine Learning

Marc-Aurèle Antoine Divernois

This thesis consists of three applications of machine learning techniques to risk management. The first chapter proposes a deep learning approach to estimate physical forward default intensities of companies. Default probabilities are computed using artifi ...

EPFL2022

Technology Strategy in Dynamic Environments: A Computational Analysis of the Automation of Routines, the Organization of AI, and the Evaluation of Technology Risk

Maximilian Wieland Hofer

In this dissertation, I develop theory and evidence to argue that new technologies are central to how firms organize to create and capture value. I use computational methods such as reinforcement learning and probabilistic topic modeling to investigate thr ...

EPFL2022

Essays on Mortgage Supply in a Low Rate Environment and Gender Effects of Covid-19

After the financial crisis, policy rates in the major advanced economies have moved downwards to near/below zero. Some countries have experienced an increase in house prices and an expansion of mortgages. Also, there have been considerable changes in the m ...

EPFL2021

Systemic Risk in Networks with a Central Node

Damir Filipovic, Léo Hamed Amini

We examine the effects on a financial network of clearing all contracts though a central node (CN), thereby transforming the original network into a star-shaped one. The CN is capitalized with external equity and a guaranty fund. We introduce a structural ...

SIAM PUBLICATIONS2020

Mortgage Supply and Capital Regulation in a Low Interest Rate Environment

Luisa Lambertini

Low-for-long nominal interest rates have resulted in strong growth in mort- gage lending and real house prices in Switzerland. Domestically-oriented, small banks have mostly contributed to this expansion in mortgage lending while the two big, global system ...

2020

Surveying the environmental life-cycle performance assessments: Practice and context at early building design stages

Marilyne Andersen, Emmanuel Rey, Thomas Bernard Paul Jusselme

The international greenhouse gas agreements call for mitigations in the building industry. Thus, the number of scientific publications about life-cycle performance assessment (LCPA) follows an exponential trend since the 2000s. However, previous surveys hi ...

2020

Three Problems of Liquidity under Asymmetric Information

Sylvain Jean Pascal Carré

This thesis develops models for three problems of liquidity under asymmetric information. In the chapter "Disclosures, Rollover Risk, and Debt Runs" I build a model of dynamic debt runs without perfect information in order to understand the impact of asset ...

EPFL2019

Are insurance balance sheets carbon-neutral? Harnessing asset pricing for climate change policy(dagger)

Jiahua Xu

Due to its enormous size and capital base, the insurance industry has the potential to play a key role in countering climate change. To this end, the major capital flows associated with its investment and underwriting businesses would need to be redirected ...

PALGRAVE MACMILLAN LTD2019

Three Essays in Banking and Finance

Damien Olivier Klossner

This thesis develops three models that study the motivation of various agents to take on debt, and the impact that excessive financial leverage can have on social welfare. In the chapter "Short-term Bank Leverage and the Value of Liquid Reserves", the ince ...

EPFL2019

Linear credit risk models

Damir Filipovic, Damien Edouard Ackerer

We introduce a novel class of credit risk models in which the drift of the survival process of a firm is a linear function of the factors. The prices of defaultable bonds and credit default swaps (CDS) are linear-rational in the factors. The price of a CDS ...

2020

IRGC Guidelines for the Governance of Systemic Risks

Marie-Valentine Renée Agnès Florin, Anjali Devi Vanapilli Nursimulu

IRGC’s guidelines for the governance of systemic risks addresses the question of how to deal with systemic risks in the context of system transitions, i.e., in situations that require adaptation to new context conditions or transformation of an organisatio ...

International Risk Governance Center (IRGC)2018

Financial Stability and the Macroeconomy : the Role of Bank Liquidity Regulation and Deposit Insurance

Corinne Dubois

The financial crisis of 2007-2009 drew attention to the essential role of banks for the macroeconomy and to the importance of having a resilient financial sector. A vulnerability in the financial sector spills over to the real economy and can drive it into ...

EPFL2018

IT Investment and its impacts : does IT matter during crisis, during financing and in Innovation?

Shameem Hasan

This thesis empirically explored the impacts of IT investment on three different scenarios under the common denominator / threads of IT investments. It comprises three different essays on the impacts of IT investments. IT investments and its impact on many ...

EPFL2018

Essays in Corporate Finance

Thomas Antonius Geelen

In this thesis I study how firms choose their optimal debt maturity. The recent financial crisis illustrated why debt maturity is an important determinant of firmsâ capital structure and it also renewed economistsâ interest in this topic, see for examp ...

EPFL2018

Risk perception and decision-making: do farmers consider risks from climate change?

Claudia Rebeca Binder Signer

Small-scale farmers are highly threatened by climate change. Experts often base their interventions to support farmers to adapt to climate change on their own perception of farmers' livelihood risks. However, if differences in risk perception between farme ...

SPRINGER2018

Essays in Bank Financing

Yalda Sigrist

This thesis examines the optimal mode of financing for banks and financial institutions. The first chapter, which is a joint work with Prof. Jean-Charles Rochet, investigates how Systemically Important Financial Institutions (SIFIs) should be financed. The ...

EPFL2017

Polynomial models in finance

Damien Edouard Ackerer

This thesis presents new flexible dynamic stochastic models for the evolution of market prices and new methods for the valuation of derivatives. These models and methods build on the recently characterized class of polynomial jump-diffusion processes for w ...

EPFL2017

Mortgage Default in an Estimated Model of the U.S. Housing Market

Luisa Lambertini, Victoria Nuguer, Pinar Uysal

This paper models the housing sector, mortgages and endogenous default in a DSGE setting with nominal and real rigidities. We use data for the period 1981-2006 to estimate our model using Bayesian techniques. We analyze how an increase in risk in the mortg ...

2017