Publications associées à Tropical cyclone track forecasting

Improved extended-range prediction of persistent stratospheric perturbations using machine learning

Guillaume Romain Obozinski, Raphaël Gérard Théodore Michel Marie de Deloÿe et Fourcade de Fondeville

On average every 2 years, the stratospheric polar vortex exhibits extreme perturbations known as sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs). The impact of these events is not limited to the stratosphere: but they can also influence the weather at the surface of ...

Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh2023

National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021

Ekaterina Krymova, Markus Scholz

Background During the COVID-19 pandemic there has been a strong interest in forecasts of the short-term development of epidemiological indicators to inform decision makers. In this study we evaluate probabilistic real-time predictions of confirmed cases an ...

Springernature2022

Short-Term Forecasting of Wake-Induced Fluctuations in Offshore Wind Farms

Arslan Salim Dar

The increasing share of offshore wind energy traded at the spot market requires short term wind direction forecasts to determine wake losses and increased power fluctuations due to multiple wakes in certain wind directions. The information on potential pow ...

2019

Measurements of precipitation in Dumont d'Urville, Adelie Land, East Antarctica

Alexis Berne, Jacopo Grazioli

The first results of a campaign of intensive observation of precipitation in Dumont d'Urville, Antarctica, are presented. Several instruments collected data from November 2015 to February 2016 or longer, including a polarimetric radar (MXPol), a Micro Rain ...

Copernicus GmbH2017

Multiregional Satellite Precipitation Products Evaluation over Complex Terrain

Alexis Berne

An extensive evaluation of nine global-scale high-resolution satellite-based rainfall (SBR) products is performed using aminimumof 6 years (within the period of 2000-13) of reference rainfall data derived from rain gauge networks in nine mountainous region ...

American Meteorological Society2016

Model-free computation of ultra-short-term prediction intervals of solar irradiance

Jean-Yves Le Boudec, Mario Paolone, Dimitri Torregrossa

We propose an ultra-short-term dynamic interval predictor (DIP) of solar irradiance. Our DIP relies on experimentally observed correlations between the derivative of the solar irradiance and the forecast error in the next time-step. The main originalities ...

Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd2016

Flow over Hills: A Large-Eddy Simulation of the Bolund Case

Jiannong Fang, Marc Parlange, Chad Higgins, Marc Diebold

Simulation of local atmospheric flows around complex topography is important for several applications in wind energy (short-term wind forecasting and turbine siting and control), local weather prediction in mountainous regions and avalanche risk assessment ...

Springer Verlag2013