Publications associées à 1817–1824 cholera pandemic

Epidemicity of cholera spread and the fate of infection control measures

Andrea Rinaldo, Cristiano Trevisin, Lorenzo Mari, Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Damiano Pasetto, Marino Gatto

The fate of ongoing infectious disease outbreaks is predicted through reproduction numbers, defining the long-term establishment of the infection, and epidemicity indices, tackling the reactivity of the infectious pool to new contagions. Prognostic metrics ...

2022

Single nucleotide polymorphism determines constitutive versus inducible type VI secretion in Vibrio cholerae

Melanie Blokesch, Sandrine Stutzmann, Alexis Joseph Proutière, Loriane Bader, Natalia Carolina Drebes Dorr, Milena Jadwiga Jaskolska

Vibrio cholerae is a well-studied human pathogen that is also a common inhabitant of marine habitats. In both environments, the bacterium is subject to interbacterial competition. A molecular nanomachine that is often involved in such competitive behavior ...

2022

The molecular treasure box of environmental Vibrio cholerae strains

Natalia Carolina Drebes Dorr

Cholera pandemics have been affecting humankind for centuries and are still considered a major public health problem, especially in regions around the world with poor access to clean water and sanitation. Cholera pandemics are caused by a specific lineage ...

EPFL2021

How to detect and reduce potential sources of biases in studies of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19

Mats Julius Stensrud

In response to the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, public health scientists have produced a large and rapidly expanding body of literature that aims to answer critical questions, such as the proportion of the population in a geographic area that h ...

2021

Epidemic mitigation by statistical inference from contact tracing data

Florent Gérard Krzakala, Lenka Zdeborová, Maria Refinetti, Indaco Biazzo, Giovanni Catania

Contact tracing is an essential tool to mitigate the impact of a pandemic, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. In order to achieve efficient and scalable contact tracing in real time, digital devices can play an important role. While a lot of attention has been ...

National Academy of Sciences2021

Volunteer contributions to Wikipedia increased during COVID-19 mobility restrictions

Robert West, Manoel Horta Ribeiro

Wikipedia, the largest encyclopedia ever created, is a global initiative driven by volunteer contributions. When the COVID-19 pandemic broke out and mobility restrictions ensued across the globe, it was unclear whether contributions to Wikipedia would decr ...

Nature Portfolio2021

Testing of asymptomatic individuals for fast feedback-control of COVID-19 pandemic

Gabriel Aeppli

We argue that frequent sampling of the fraction ofa priorinon-symptomatic but infectious humans (either by random or cohort testing) significantly improves the management of the COVID-19 pandemic, when compared to intervention strategies relying on data fr ...

2020

The potential impact of case-area targeted interventions in response to cholera outbreaks: A modeling study

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Flavio Finger

Background Cholera prevention and control interventions targeted to neighbors of cholera cases (case-area targeted interventions [CATIs]), including improved water, sanitation, and hygiene, oral cholera vaccine (OCV), and prophylactic antibiotics, may be a ...

2018

Long-Read-Based Genome Sequences of Pandemic and Environmental Vibrio cholerae Strains

Noémie Matthey, Melanie Blokesch, Natalia Carolina Drebes Dorr

The bacterium Vibrio cholerae exhibits two distinct lifestyles, one as an aquatic bacterium and the other as the etiological agent of the pandemic human disease cholera. Here, we report closed genome sequences of two seventh pandemic V. cholerae O1 El Tor ...

2018

Modeling Key Drivers of Cholera Transmission Dynamics Provides New Perspectives for Parasitology

Andrea Rinaldo, Melanie Blokesch, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Marino Gatto

Hydroclimatological and anthropogenic factors are key drivers of waterborne disease transmission. Information on human settlements and host mobility on waterways along which pathogens and hosts disperse, and relevant hydroclimatological processes, can be a ...

2017

Spatially explicit modeling of cholera epidemics

Flavio Finger

Understanding the epidemiology of cholera, when and where it occurs and how it spreads, is key to its prevention and control. Models can help to apprehend cholera outbreaks by providing insight into critical epidemiological processes, and may be used to ev ...

EPFL2017

Detection of Vibrio cholerae O1 and O139 in environmental waters of rural Bangladesh: a flow-cytometry-based field trial

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Lorenzo Righetto, Marino Gatto

Presence of Vibrio cholerae serogroups O1 and O139 in the waters of the rural area of Matlab, Bangladesh, was investigated with quantitative measurements performed with a portable flow cytometer. The relevance of this work relates to the testing of a field ...

Cambridge University Press2015

Frequentist estimation of an epidemic's spreading potential when observations are scarce

Victor Panaretos, Andrea Kraus

We consider the problem of inferring the potential of an epidemic for escalating into a pandemic on the basis of limited observations in its initial stages. Classical results of Becker & Hasofer (J. R. Statist. Soc. B, 59, 415-29) illustrate that frequenti ...

Oxford University Press2014

Hydrological, Anthropogenic and Ecological Processes in Cholera Dynamics

Lorenzo Righetto

The present Thesis deals with understanding, measuring and modelling epidemic cholera. The relevance of the endeavour stems from the fact that mathematical epidemiology, properly guided by model-guided field validation, is a reliable and powerful tool to m ...

EPFL2013

Modelling cholera epidemics: the role of waterways, human mobility and sanitation

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Lorenzo Righetto, Marino Gatto

We investigate the role of human mobility as a driver for long-range spreading of cholera infections, which primarily propagate through hydrologically controlled ecological corridors. Our aim is to build a spatially explicit model of a disease epidemic, wh ...

2012

Reassessment of the 2010-2011 Haiti cholera outbreak and rainfall-driven multiseason projections

Andrea Rinaldo, Melanie Blokesch, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Lorenzo Righetto, Marino Gatto

Mathematical models can provide key insights into the course of an ongoing epidemic, potentially aiding real-time emergency management in allocating health care resources and by anticipating the impact of alternative interventions. We study the ex post rel ...

2012