Publications associées à Asymptotic theory (statistics)

Extensions of Peer Prediction Incentive Mechanisms

As large, data-driven artificial intelligence models become ubiquitous, guaranteeing high data quality is imperative for constructing models. Crowdsourcing, community sensing, and data filtering have long been the standard approaches to guaranteeing or imp ...

EPFL2024

Density estimation in RKHS with application to Korobov spaces in high dimensions

Fabio Nobile, Yoshihito Kazashi

A kernel method for estimating a probability density function from an independent and identically distributed sample drawn from such density is presented. Our estimator is a linear combination of kernel functions, the coefficients of which are determined b ...

2023

Robust discrete choice models with t-distributed kernel errors

Michel Bierlaire, Thomas Gasos, Prateek Bansal

Outliers in discrete choice response data may result from misclassification and misreporting of the response variable and from choice behaviour that is inconsistent with modelling assumptions (e.g. random utility maximisation). In the presence of outliers, ...

2023

GTC Follow-up Observations of Very Metal-poor Star Candidates from DESI

Pascale Jablonka, Arjun Dey

The observations from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) will significantly increase the numbers of known extremely metal-poor stars by a factor of similar to 10, improving the sample statistics to study the early chemical evolution of the Mil ...

Iop Publishing Ltd2023

Time vs. Truth: Age-Distortion Tradeoffs and Strategies for Distributed Inference

Yunus Inan

In 1948, Claude Shannon laid the foundations of information theory, which grew out of a study to find the ultimate limits of source compression, and of reliable communication. Since then, information theory has proved itself not only as a quest to find the ...

EPFL2023

Bayes-optimal Learning of Deep Random Networks of Extensive-width

Florent Gérard Krzakala, Lenka Zdeborová, Hugo Chao Cui

We consider the problem of learning a target function corresponding to a deep, extensive-width, non-linear neural network with random Gaussian weights. We consider the asymptotic limit where the number of samples, the input dimension and the network width ...

2023

Nonparametric estimation for SDE with sparsely sampled paths: An FDA perspective

Victor Panaretos, Neda Mohammadi Jouzdani

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on n independent replicates {Xi(t) : t is an element of [0 , 1]}13 d B(t), where alpha is an element of {0 , 1} a ...

Elsevier2024

Parametric Estimation For Functional Autoregressive Processes On The Sphere

Alessia Caponera

The aim of this paper is to define a nonlinear least squares estimator for the spectral parameters of a spherical autoregressive process of order 1 in a parametric setting. Furthermore, we investigate on its asymptotic properties, such as weak consistency ...

2022

The Debiased Spatial Whittle likelihood

Sofia Charlotta Olhede

We provide a computationally and statistically efficient method for estimating the parameters of a stochastic covariance model observed on a regular spatial grid in any number of dimensions. Our proposed method, which we call the Debiased Spatial Whittle l ...

WILEY2022

Safety in Numbers: Asymptotic Analysis of a Monitoring Problem

Emre Telatar, Reka Inovan

In this work, we introduce a setup where a monitoring entity attempts to distinguish a cheating player among a group of regular players where all players behave in order to maximize their reward. We assume that the cheating player has an "information advan ...

IEEE2022

D-Cliques: Compensating for Data Heterogeneity with Topology in Decentralized Federated Learning

Anne-Marie Kermarrec, Erick Lavoie

The convergence speed of machine learning models trained with Federated Learning is significantly affected by non-independent and identically distributed (non-IID) data partitions, even more so in a fully decentralized setting without a central server. In ...

2022

Financial Risk Management with Machine Learning

Marc-Aurèle Antoine Divernois

This thesis consists of three applications of machine learning techniques to risk management. The first chapter proposes a deep learning approach to estimate physical forward default intensities of companies. Default probabilities are computed using artifi ...

EPFL2022

Learning, compression, and leakage: Minimising classification error via meta-universal compression principles

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Fernando Rosas de Andraca

Learning and compression are driven by the common aim of identifying and exploiting statistical regularities in data, which opens the door for fertile collaboration between these areas. A promising group of compression techniques for learning scenarios is ...

IEEE2021

Estimating an extreme Bayesian network via scalings

Mario Krali

A recursive max-linear vector models causal dependence between its components by expressing each node variable as a max-linear function of its parental nodes in a directed acyclic graph and some exogenous innovation. Motivated by extreme value theory, inno ...

ELSEVIER INC2021

Predicting involuntary hospitalization in psychiatry: A machine learning investigation

Mehdi Gholam

Background Coercion in psychiatry is a controversial issue. Identifying its predictors and their interaction using traditional statistical methods is difficult, given the large number of variables involved. The purpose of this study was to use machine-lear ...

CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS2021

Multiple testing with test statistics following heavy-tailed distributions

Zhiwen Jiang

In multiple testing problems where the components come from a mixture model of noise and true effect, we seek to first test for the existence of the non-zero components, and then identify the true alternatives under a fixed significance level

\alpha

. Two ...

EPFL2021

A Statistical Test for Probabilistic Fairness

Daniel Kuhn, Viet Anh Nguyen, Bahar Taskesen

Algorithms are now routinely used to make consequential decisions that affect human lives. Examples include college admissions, medical interventions or law enforcement. While algorithms empower us to harness all information hidden in vast amounts of data, ...

2021

Frequency domain theory for functional time series: Variance decomposition and an invariance principle

Neda Mohammadi Jouzdani

This paper is concerned with frequency domain theory for functional time series, which are temporally dependent sequences of functions in a Hilbert space. We consider a variance decomposition, which is more suitable for such a data structure than the varia ...

INT STATISTICAL INST2020

High-Frequency Analysis Of Parabolic Stochastic Pdes

Carsten Hao Ye Chong

We consider the problem of estimating stochastic volatility for a class of second-order parabolic stochastic PDEs. Assuming that the solution is observed at high temporal frequency, we use limit theorems for multipower variations and related functionals to ...

INST MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS2020

Multivariate extremes over a random number of observations

Simone Padoan, Stefano Rizzelli

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated data, such as max ...

WILEY2021