Publications associées à Modélisation financière

Using automated design appraisal to model building-specific devaluation risk due to land-use change

Uncertainty of spillover effects – including property devaluation - from proposed land-use change elicits opposition to local development. This hinders cities’ ability to implement land-use policy aimed at housing affordability and environmental sustainabi ...

2024

Machine Learning for Modeling Stock Returns

Teng Andrea Xu

Throughout history, the pace of knowledge and information sharing has evolved into an unthinkable speed and media. At the end of the XVII century, in Europe, the ideas that would shape the "Age of Enlightenment" were slowly being developed in coffeehouses, ...

EPFL2024

Automated Design Appraisal: Estimating Real Estate Price Growth and Value at Risk Due to Local Development

Adam Robert Swietek

Financial criteria in architectural design evaluation are limited to cost performance. Here, I introduce a method – Automated Design Appraisal (ADA) – to predict the market price of a generated building design concept within a local urban context. Integrat ...

2023

Essays in Empirical Asset Pricing

Alexis Arilès Marchal

This thesis consists of three applications of machine learning techniques to empirical asset pricing. In the first part, which is co-authored work with Oksana Bashchenko, we develop a new method that detects jumps nonparametrically in financial time series ...

EPFL2022

Essays in Monetary Policy and Asset Pricing

Benoit Vincent Sylvain Cornet

This thesis uses machine learning techniques and text data to investigate the relationships that arise between the Fed and financial markets, and their consequences for asset prices. The first chapter, entitled Market Expectations and the Impact of Unconv ...

EPFL2022

Freezing-induced stiffness and strength anisotropy in freezing clayey soil: Theory, numerical modeling, and experimental validation

Gioacchino Viggiani, Edward Carlo Giorgio Andò

This paper presents a combined experimental-modeling effort to interpret the coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical behaviors of the freezing soil, where an unconfined, fully saturated clay is frozen due to a temperature gradient. By leveraging the rich experimen ...

WILEY2022

Asset Pricing and Monetary Policy

Nicolas Gauderon

Classical theory asserts that the formation of prices is the result of aggregated decisions of economics agent such as households or corporation. However central banks are very important agents that have often been neglected in asset pricing models. Centra ...

EPFL2022

Combining hypothesis- and data-driven neuroscience modeling in FAIR workflows

Daniel Keller

Modeling in neuroscience occurs at the intersection of different points of view and approaches. Typically, hypothesis-driven modeling brings a question into focus so that a model is constructed to investigate a specific hypothesis about how the system work ...

2022

Cost-Based Decision Support System: A Dynamic Cost Estimation of Key Performance Indicators in Manufacturing

Dimitrios Kyritsis, Foivos Psarommatis Giannakopoulos

An attempt is made to translate five generic key performance indicators (KPIs) into a continuous real-time cost function in a batch order-based manufacturing environment. The challenge of controlling and optimizing resource utilization, production efficien ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2022

A Benders decomposition for maximum simulated likelihood estimation of advanced discrete choice models

Michel Bierlaire, Claudia Bongiovanni

In this paper, we formulate a mixed integer linear program (MILP) for the simulated maximum likelihood estimation (MLSE) problem and devise a Benders decomposition approach to speed up the solution process. This framework can be applied to any advanced dis ...

2022

COVID-19: data-driven dynamic asset allocation in times of pandemic

Anna Timonina-Farkas

The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the importance and value of multi-period asset allocation strategies responding to rapid changes in market behavior. In this article, we formulate and solve a multi-stage stochastic optimization problem, choosing the ...

AMER INST MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES-AIMS2021

Informational frictions in financial markets

Erik Hapnes

This thesis consists of three chapters on informational frictions in financial markets. The chapters analyze problems related to markets' ability to guide real investment, and what drives liquidity. Both problems are important to ensure efficient resource ...

EPFL2021

Dynamical properties of a driven dissipative dimerized S=1/2 chain

Bruce Normand

We consider the dynamical properties of a gapped quantum spin system coupled to the electric field of a laser, which drives the resonant excitation of specific phonon modes that modulate the magnetic interactions. We deduce the quantum master equations gov ...

2021

Low-Rank Tensor Approximation for Chebyshev Interpolation in Parametric Option Pricing

Daniel Kressner, Francesco Statti, Kathrin Beatrice Glau

Treating high dimensionality is one of the main challenges in the development of computational methods for solving problems arising in finance, where tasks such as pricing, calibration, and risk assessment need to be performed accurately and in real-time. ...

2020

Polynomial Jump-Diffusion Models

Damir Filipovic, Martin Larsson

We develop a comprehensive mathematical framework for polynomial jump-diffusions in a semimartingale context, which nest affine jump-diffusions and have broad applications in finance. We show that the polynomial property is preserved under polynomial trans ...

2020

Shake Table Blind Prediction Tests: Contributions for Improved Fiber-based Frame Modelling

João Saraiva Esteves Pacheco de Almeida

Distributed plasticity Euler-Bernoulli fiber beams are regularly used by researchers and practitioners to simulate the nonlinear seismic response of reinforced concrete framed structures. This study presents a sensitivity analysis, combining newly proposed ...

2020

Re-evaluating natural resource investments under uncertainty: An alternative to limited traditional approaches

Sebastian Maier

The need to evaluate natural resource investments under uncertainty has given rise to the development of real options valuation; however, the analysis of such investments has been restricted by the capabilities of existing valuation approaches. We re-visit ...

2021

Essays in Financial Economics

Julien Arsène Blatt

I started my PhD studies in August 2014 with a strong desire to push my own limits without knowing precisely the areas I wanted to cover in detail. To me, it was clear that I was interested by many different fields, however, I was particularly concerned wi ...

EPFL2019

Numerical methods for option pricing: polynomial approximation and high dimensionality

Francesco Statti

Options are some of the most traded financial instruments and computing their price is a central task in financial mathematics and in practice. Consequently, the development of numerical algorithms for pricing options is an active field of research. In gen ...

EPFL2019

Linear credit risk models

Damir Filipovic, Damien Edouard Ackerer

We introduce a novel class of credit risk models in which the drift of the survival process of a firm is a linear function of the factors. The prices of defaultable bonds and credit default swaps (CDS) are linear-rational in the factors. The price of a CDS ...

2020