Publications associées à Posterior predictive distribution

Valence can control the nonexponential viscoelastic relaxation of multivalent reversible gels

Gels made of telechelic polymers connected by reversible cross-linkers are a versatile design platform for biocompatible viscoelastic materials. Their linear response to a step strain displays a fast, near-exponential relaxation when using low-valence cros ...

Amer Assoc Advancement Science2024

TIC-TAC: A Framework for Improved Covariance Estimation in Deep Heteroscedastic Regression

Mathieu Salzmann, Alexandre Massoud Alahi, Megh Hiren Shukla

Deep heteroscedastic regression involves jointly optimizing the mean and covariance of the predicted distribution using the negative log-likelihood. However, recent works show that this may result in sub-optimal convergence due to the challenges associated ...

2024

Influence of model uncertainty and long term deformations in action effects calculation in reinforced concrete structures

Xhemsi Malja

Most codes of practice adopt a semi probabilistic design approach for the dimensioning and assessment of structures. Accordingly, structural safety is ensured by performing limit state verifications using design values determined with adequately calibrated ...

EPFL2024

Current propagation type self-consistent leader-return stroke model

Farhad Rachidi-Haeri, Marcos Rubinstein

A current propagation type return stroke model which is consistent with the estimated distribution of the charge on the leader channel is described. The model takes into account the dispersion of the return stroke current along the return stroke channel. T ...

Elsevier2023

An Unbiased Method of Measuring the Ratio of Two Data Sets

Jean-Paul Richard Kneib, Huanyuan Shan

In certain cases of astronomical data analysis, the meaningful physical quantity to extract is the ratio R between two data sets. Examples include the lensing ratio, the interloper rate in spectroscopic redshift samples, and the decay rate of gravitational ...

IOP Publishing Ltd2023

Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations

Benjamin Bejar Haro, Ekaterina Krymova, Ntorina Thanou, Nicola Parolini, Daniel Rodrigo Lopez, Andrea Kraus, Daniel Lopez, David Kraus, Markus Scholz, Tao Sun

Background:Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, one can maximise the predictive p ...

eLIFE SCIENCES PUBL LTD2023

Multivariate geometric anisotropic Cox processes

Sofia Charlotta Olhede

This paper introduces a new modeling and inference framework for multivariate and anisotropic point processes. Building on recent innovations in multivariate spatial statistics, we propose a new family of multivariate anisotropic random fields, and from th ...

WILEY2023

Using wavelets to capture deviations from smoothness in galaxy-scale strong lenses

Frédéric Courbin, Aymeric Alexandre Galan, Georgios Vernardos, Austin Chandler Peel

Modeling the mass distribution of galaxy-scale strong gravitational lenses is a task of increasing difficulty. The high-resolution and depth of imaging data now available render simple analytical forms ineffective at capturing lens structures spanning a la ...

EDP SCIENCES S A2022

An Efficient Sampling Algorithm for Non-smooth Composite Potentials

Nicolas Henri Bernard Flammarion

We consider the problem of sampling from a density of the form p(x) ? exp(-f (x) - g(x)), where f : Rd-+ R is a smooth function and g : R-d-+ R is a convex and Lipschitz function. We propose a new algorithm based on the Metropolis-Hastings framework. Under ...

Microtome Publishing2022

Bayesian Inversion for Nonlinear Imaging Models Using Deep Generative Priors

Michaël Unser, Thanh-An Michel Pham, Pakshal Narendra Bohra, Jonathan Yuelin Dong

Most modern imaging systems incorporate a computational pipeline to infer the image of interest from acquired measurements. The Bayesian approach to solve such ill-posed inverse problems involves the characterization of the posterior distribution of the im ...

2022

Limiting the impact of supply chain disruptions in the face of distributional uncertainty in demand

Ralf Seifert, Anna Timonina-Farkas, René Yves Glogg

Service-level requirements play a crucial role in eliminating stock-outs in a production pipeline. However, delivering a specific service level can become an unattainable goal given the various uncertainties influencing both the production pipeline and cus ...

WILEY2022

Information-driven transitions in projections of underdamped dynamics

Daniel Maria Busiello, Giorgio Nicoletti, Amos Maritan

Low-dimensional representations of underdamped systems often provide useful insights and analytical tractability. Here, we build such representations via information projections, obtaining an optimal model that captures the most information on observed spa ...

AMER PHYSICAL SOC2022

System and methods for differential imaging using a lock-in camera

Christophe Moser, Timothé Laforest, Damien Claude-Marie Loterie, Chiara Bonati

The present invention describes an imaging system that allows visualization of a wide range of samples both in terms of morphology and in terms of material (e.g. density distribution, varying chemical composition, or anything that induces a change of optic ...

2021

Network Classifiers Based On Social Learning

Ali H. Sayed, Virginia Bordignon, Stefan Vlaski

This work proposes a new way of combining independently trained classifiers over space and time. Combination over space means that the outputs of spatially distributed classifiers are aggregated. Combination over time means that the classifiers respond to ...

IEEE2021

A Current Propagation Type Return Stroke Model Consistent with the Leader Charge Distribution

Farhad Rachidi-Haeri, Marcos Rubinstein

We describe a current propagation type return stroke model which is consistent with the estimated distribution of the charge on the leader channel. The model takes into account the dispersion of the return stroke current along the return stroke channel. Th ...

2021

The Impact of Changes in Resolution on the Persistent Homology of Images

Adélie Eliane Garin

Digital images enable quantitative analysis of material properties at micro and macro length scales, but choosing an appropriate resolution when acquiring the image is challenging. A high resolution means longer image acquisition and larger data requiremen ...

IEEE2021

On Vacuous and Non-Vacuous Generalization Bounds for Deep Neural Networks

Konstantinos Pitas

Deep neural networks have been empirically successful in a variety of tasks, however their theoretical understanding is still poor. In particular, modern deep neural networks have many more parameters than training data. Thus, in principle they should over ...

EPFL2020

Bayesian regression explains how human participants handle parameter uncertainty

Michael Herzog, Jean-Pascal Théodor Pfister, Mattew Pachai, Maya Anna Jastrzebowska

Author summary How do humans make prediction when the critical factor that influences the quality of the prediction is hidden? Here, we address this question by conducting a simple psychophysical experiment in which participants had to extrapolate a parabo ...

2020

First observation of spalling in tantalum at high temperatures induced by high energy proton beam impacts

Philippe Spätig, Elvis Fornasiere, Marco Calviani

Spalling in tantalum has been observed in an experiment aiming at testing an antiproton production target prototype at CERN’s HiRadMat Facility. The experiment consisted in impacting 47 intense and high-energy proton beams onto a target equipped with ten c ...

2020

A t-distribution based operator for enhancing out of distribution robustness of neural network classifiers

Philip Neil Garner

Neural Network (NN) classifiers can assign extreme probabilities to samples that have not appeared during training (out-of-distribution samples) resulting in erroneous and unreliable predictions. One of the causes for this unwanted behaviour lies in the us ...

IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers2020