Publications associées à Intervalle de fluctuation

Anthony C Davison and Igor Rodionov's contribution to the Discussion of 'Estimating means of bounded random variables by betting' by Waudby-Smith and Ramdas

Anthony Christopher Davison, Igor Rodionov

We derive confidence intervals (CIs) and confidence sequences (CSs) for the classical problem of estimating a bounded mean. Our approach generalizes and improves on the celebrated Chernoff method, yielding the best closed-form "empirical-Bernstein" CSs and ...

Oxford Univ Press2024

Fair real-time control of energy storage systems in active distribution networks in the presence of uncertainties

Plouton Grammatikos

The thesis explores the issue of fairness in the real-time (RT) control of battery energy storage systems (BESSs) hosted in active distribution networks (ADNs) in the presence of uncertainties by proposing and experimentally validating appropriate control ...

EPFL2024

Maximum likelihood bolometry for ASDEX upgrade experiments

Olivier Claude Martin Février, Riccardo Rossi

Bolometry is an essential diagnostic for calculating the power balances and for the understanding of different physical aspects of tokamak experiments. The reconstruction method based on the Maximum Likelihood (ML) principle, developed initially for JET, h ...

Iop Publishing Ltd2023

Estimation of Self-Exciting Point Processes from Time-Censored Data

Thomas Alois Weber, Philipp Schneider

Self-exciting point processes, widely used to model arrival phenomena in nature and society, are often difficult to identify. The estimation becomes even more challenging when arrivals are recorded only as bin counts on a finite partition of the observatio ...

2023

Leukocyte Count and Coronary Artery Disease Events in People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: A Longitudinal Study

Jacques Fellay, Christian Axel Wandall Thorball

Leukocyte count is associated with coronary artery disease (CAD) events in the general population. Here we show that leukocytes are independently associated with CAD events in people with HIV in Switzerland, after adjusting for traditional and HIVrelated r ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC2023

Peak Value-at-Risk Estimation for Stochastic Differential Equations using Occupation Measures

Matteo Raphael Tacchi

This paper proposes an algorithm to upper-bound maximal quantile statistics of a state function over the course of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) system execution. This chance-peak problem is posed as a nonconvex program aiming to maximize the Va ...

IEEE2023

Environmental determinants of access to shared sanitation in informal settlements: a cross-sectional study in Abidjan and Nairobi

Jérôme Chenal, Vitor Pessoa Colombo, Jürg Utzinger

Background Universal access to basic sanitation remains a global challenge, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Efforts are underway to improve access to sanitation in informal settlements, often through shared facilities. However, access to ...

2023

Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations

Benjamin Bejar Haro, Ekaterina Krymova, Ntorina Thanou, Nicola Parolini, Daniel Rodrigo Lopez, Andrea Kraus, Daniel Lopez, David Kraus, Markus Scholz, Tao Sun

Background:Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, one can maximise the predictive p ...

eLIFE SCIENCES PUBL LTD2023

Attractive and repulsive serial dependence: The role of task relevance, the passage of time, and the number of stimuli

David Pascucci, Gizay Ceylan

Visual decisions are attracted toward features of previous stimuli. This phenomenon, termed serial dependence, has been related to a mechanism that integrates present visual input with stimuli seen up to 10 to 15 s in the past. It is believed that this mec ...

2023

Bimanual dynamic grabbing and tossing of objects onto a moving target

Aude Billard, Michael Bosongo Bombile

Bimanual grabbing and tossing of packages onto trays or conveyor belts remains a human activity in the industry. For robots, such a dynamic task requires coordination between two arms and fast adaptation abilities when the tossing target is moving and subj ...

Elsevier2023

A note on universal inference

Anthony Christopher Davison, Timmy Rong Tian Tse

Universal inference enables the construction of confidence intervals and tests without regularity conditions by splitting the data into two parts and appealing to Markov's inequality. Previous investigations have shown that the cost of this generality is a ...

WILEY2022

Is There a Cap on Longevity? A Statistical Review

Anthony Christopher Davison, Léo Raymond-Belzile

There is sustained and widespread interest in understanding the limit, if there is any, to the human life span. Apart from its intrinsic and biological interest, changes in survival in old age have implications for the sustainability of social security sys ...

ANNUAL REVIEWS2022

Perceiving Humans: from Monocular 3D Localization to Social Distancing

Alexandre Massoud Alahi, Sven Kreiss, Lorenzo Bertoni

Perceiving humans in the context of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) often relies on multiple cameras or expensive LiDAR sensors. In this work, we present a new cost-effective vision-based method that perceives humans' locations in 3D and their bod ...

IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers2022

Separating Algorithms From Questions and Causal Inference With Unmeasured Exposures: An Application to Birth Cohort Studies of Early Body Mass Index Rebound

Mats Julius Stensrud, Aaron Leor Sarvet

Observational studies reporting on adjusted associations between childhood body mass index (BMI; weight (kg)/height (m)(2)) rebound and subsequent cardiometabolic outcomes have often not paid explicit attention to causal inference, including definition of ...

2021

Effect of specific non-pharmaceutical intervention policies on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the counties of the United States

Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) remain the only widely available tool for controlling the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. We estimated weekly values of the effective basic reproductive number (R-eff) using a mechanistic metapopulation model and associ ...

Nature Research2021

The Effects of Time-Restricted Eating versus Standard Dietary Advice on Weight, Metabolic Health and the Consumption of Processed Food: A Pragmatic Randomised Controlled Trial in Community-Based Adults

Felix Naef, Nicholas Edward Phillips

Weight loss is key to controlling the increasing prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MS) and its components, i.e., central obesity, hypertension, prediabetes and dyslipidaemia. The goals of our study were two-fold. First, we characterised the relationships b ...

2021

Assessing the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Switzerland

Andrea Rinaldo, Jacques Fellay, Francisco Javier Perez Saez, Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre

Following the rapid dissemination of COVID-19 cases in Switzerland, large-scale non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) were implemented by the cantons and the federal government between 28 February and 20 March 2020. Estimates of the impact of these inter ...

2020

Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of PWR mini-core transients in the presence of nuclear data uncertainty using non-parametric tolerance limits

Andreas Pautz, Winfried Zwermann, Alexander Aures

The impact of nuclear data uncertainties is studied for the reactor power and the reactivity during control rod withdrawal transients with reactivity insertions of 0.5

and 0.97

, respectively, for a PWR mini-core model. Multi-group cross sections, the mul ...

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD2020

Search for B+ -> mu(+)nu(mu) and B+ -> mu N+ with inclusive tagging

Olivier Schneider, Mingkui Wang, Chao Wang, Tagir Aushev, Sun Hee Kim, Donghyun Kim

We report the result for a search for the leptonic decay of B+ -> mu(+)nu mu using the full Belle dataset of 711 fb(-1) of integrated luminosity at the gamma(4S) resonance. In the Standard Model leptonic B-meson decays are helicity and Cabibbo-Kobayashi-Ma ...

American Physical Society2020

MonoLoco: Monocular 3D Pedestrian Localization and Uncertainty Estimation

Alexandre Massoud Alahi, Sven Kreiss, Lorenzo Bertoni

We tackle the fundamentally ill-posed problem of 3D human localization from monocular RGB images. Driven by the limitation of neural networks outputting point estimates, we address the ambiguity in the task by predicting confidence intervals through a loss ...

2019