Publications associées à Bayesian epistemology

Stochastic pairwise preference convergence in Bayesian agents

Beliefs inform the behaviour of forward-thinking agents in complex environments. Recently, sequential Bayesian inference has emerged as a mechanism to study belief formation among agents adapting to dynamical conditions. However, we lack critical theory to ...

2024

A FEM modelling workflow to simulate THM effects in the rock around nuclear waste packages

Matthias Timothee Stanislas Wojnarowicz

High-level waste, stemming from nuclear electricity generation poses significant environmental and safety concerns. Currently, high-level wastes are stored in interim facilities needing constant monitoring and waiting for a definitive solution. Deep geolog ...

EPFL2024

Bayesian Inversion for Nonlinear Imaging Models Using Deep Generative Priors

Michaël Unser, Thanh-An Michel Pham, Pakshal Narendra Bohra, Jonathan Yuelin Dong

Most modern imaging systems incorporate a computational pipeline to infer the image of interest from acquired measurements. The Bayesian approach to solve such ill-posed inverse problems involves the characterization of the posterior distribution of the im ...

2022

Bayesian Decision Making in Groups is Hard

Jan Hazla

We study the computations that Bayesian agents undertake when exchanging opinions over a network. The agents act repeatedly on their private information and take myopic actions that maximize their expected utility according to a fully rational posterior be ...

INFORMS2021

A Variational Inference Approach to Learning Multivariate Wold Processes

Patrick Thiran, Matthias Grossglauser, Negar Kiyavash, Seyed Jalal Etesami, William Trouleau

Temporal point-processes are often used for mathematical modeling of sequences of discrete events with asynchronous timestamps. We focus on a class of temporal point-process models called multivariate Wold processes (MWP). These processes are well suited t ...

MICROTOME PUBLISHING2021

Adaptive Path Interpolation Method for Sparse Systems: Application to a Censored Block Model

Nicolas Macris, Jean François Emmanuel Barbier, Chun Lam Chan

Recently, a new adaptive path interpolation method has been developed as a simple and versatile scheme to calculate exactly the asymptotic mutual information of Bayesian inference problems defined on dense factor graphs. These include random linear and gen ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2021

Learning Self-Exciting Temporal Point Processes Under Noisy Observations

William Trouleau

Understanding the diffusion patterns of sequences of interdependent events is a central question for a variety of disciplines. Temporal point processes are a class of elegant and powerful models of such sequences; these processes have become popular across ...

EPFL2021

Predictive brain: Addressing the level of representation by reviewing perceptual hysteresis

David Pascucci

In recent years, the idea that the prediction of sensory input is one of the major computational goals of the nervous system led to the development of several large-scale theories of brain functioning, such as different versions of the Bayesian approach to ...

ELSEVIER MASSON, CORP OFF2021

Rapid Recalibration of Peri-Personal Space: Psychophysical, Electrophysiological, and Neural Network Modeling Evidence

Olaf Blanke, Bruno Herbelin, Tommaso Enrico Bertoni, Andrea Serino, Jean-Paul Noel, Elisa Pellencin

Interactions between individuals and the environment occur within the peri-personal space (PPS). The encoding of this space plastically adapts to bodily constraints and stimuli features. However, these remapping effects have not been demonstrated on an ada ...

2020

A t-distribution based operator for enhancing out of distribution robustness of neural network classifiers

Philip Neil Garner

Neural Network (NN) classifiers can assign extreme probabilities to samples that have not appeared during training (out-of-distribution samples) resulting in erroneous and unreliable predictions. One of the causes for this unwanted behaviour lies in the us ...

IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers2020

A new spatial count data model with Bayesian additive regression trees for accident hot spot identification

Prateek Bansal, Rico Krüger

The identification of accident hot spots is a central task of road safety management. Bayesian count data models have emerged as the workhorse method for producing probabilistic rankings of hazardous sites in road networks. Typically, these methods assume ...

2020

Bayesian regression explains how human participants handle parameter uncertainty

Michael Herzog, Jean-Pascal Théodor Pfister, Mattew Pachai, Maya Anna Jastrzebowska

Author summary How do humans make prediction when the critical factor that influences the quality of the prediction is hidden? Here, we address this question by conducting a simple psychophysical experiment in which participants had to extrapolate a parabo ...

2020

The adaptive interpolation method: a simple scheme to prove replica formulas in Bayesian inference

Nicolas Macris, Jean François Emmanuel Barbier

In recent years important progress has been achieved towards proving the validity of the replica predictions for the (asymptotic) mutual information (or free energy) in Bayesian inference problems. The proof techniques that have emerged appear to be quite ...

SPRINGER HEIDELBERG2019

A Bayesian Approach To Inter-Task Fusion For Speaker Recognition

Petr Motlicek, Subhadeep Dey

In i-vector based speaker recognition systems, back-end classifiers are trained to factor out nuisance information and retain only the speaker identity. As a result, variabilities arising due to gender, language and accent ( among many others) are suppress ...

IEEE2019

Accurate and efficient interpretation of load-test data for asset-management

Sai Ganesh Sarvotham Pai

Increasing demand for new infrastructure and ageing of existing infrastructure has made management of infrastructure a key challenge of this century. Replacement of all ageing civil infrastructure is economically and environmentally unsustainable. Civil in ...

EPFL2019

Comparing methodologies for structural identification and fatigue life prediction of a highway bridge

Ian Smith, Alain Nussbaumer, Sai Ganesh Sarvotham Pai

Accurate measurement-data interpretation leads to increased understanding of structural behavior and enhanced asset-management decision making. In this paper, four data-interpretation methodologies, residual minimization, traditional Bayesian model updatin ...

2018

A Compressed Sensing Approach for Distribution Matching

Vahid Aref, Mohamad Baker Dia

In this work, we formulate the fixed-length distribution matching as a Bayesian inference problem. Our proposed solution is inspired from the compressed sensing paradigm and the sparse superposition (SS) codes. First, we introduce sparsity in the binary so ...

IEEE2018

Bayesian approach to SETI

Claudio Grimaldi

The search for technosignatures from hypothetical galactic civilizations is going through a new phase of intense activity. For the first time, a significant fraction of the vast search space is expected to be sampled in the foreseeable future, potentially ...

National Academy of Sciences2018

Adaptive Path Interpolation for Sparse Systems: Application to a Simple Censored Block Model

Nicolas Macris, Jean François Emmanuel Barbier, Chun Lam Chan

A new adaptive path interpolation method has been recently developed as a simple and versatile scheme to calculate exactly the asymptotic mutual information of Bayesian inference problems defined on dense factor graphs. These include random linear and gene ...

IEEE2018

Reconstructing Curvilinear Networks using Path Classifiers and Integer Programming

Pascal Fua, Engin Türetken, Fethallah Benmansour, Przemyslaw Rafal Glowacki

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to automated delineation of curvilinear structures that form complex and potentially loopy networks. By representing the image data as a graph of potential paths, we first show how to weight these paths using discrimina ...

2016