Publications associées à Issues in characterizing heterogeneity and connectivity in non-multiGaussian media

Quantifying the Unknown: Data-Driven Approaches and Applications in Energy Systems

In light of the challenges posed by climate change and the goals of the Paris Agreement, electricity generation is shifting to a more renewable and decentralized pattern, while the operation of systems like buildings is increasingly electrified. This calls ...

EPFL2024

Uncertainty-aware Flexibility Envelope Prediction in Buildings with Controller-agnostic Battery Models

Baptiste Schubnel, Colin Neil Jones, Rafael Eduardo Carrillo Rangel, Pierre-Jean Alet, Paul Scharnhorst

Buildings are a promising source of flexibility for the application of demand response. In this work, we introduce a novel battery model formulation to capture the state evolution of a single building. Being fully data-driven, the battery model identificat ...

IEEE2023

Risk of incorrect choices due to uncertainty in BPS evaluations of conceptual-stage neighbourhood-scale building designs

Marilyne Andersen, Luisa Pastore, Minu Agarwal

At the conceptual stage, building performance simulation (BPS) based evaluations are being increasingly used for tasks such as ranking of competing massing design proposals. However, such conceptual stage evaluations suffer from information deficiency in b ...

2023

Euclid preparation XXIV. Calibration of the halo mass function in λ(ν)CDM cosmologies

Slobodan Ilic, Georges Meylan, Frédéric Courbin, Fabio Finelli, Maurizio Martinelli, Gianluca Castignani, Marcello Farina, Austin Chandler Peel, Yi Wang

Euclid's photometric galaxy cluster survey has the potential to be a very competitive cosmological probe. The main cosmological probe with observations of clusters is their number count, within which the halo mass function (HMF) is a key theoretical quanti ...

EDP SCIENCES S A2023

On the numerical simulation of a confined cavitating tip leakage vortex under geometrical and operational uncertainties

Mohamed Farhat

The effects of operational and geometrical uncertainties on Tip Leakage Vortex (TLV) characteristics are investigated in the current research. Geometrical uncertainties are comprised of manufacturing tolerances or gradual geometry degradation over the time ...

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD2021

Aerosol formation and growth rates from chamber experiments using Kalman smoothing

Lubna Dada

Bayesian state estimation in the form of Kalman smoothing was applied to differential mobility analyser train (DMA-train) measurements of aerosol size distribution dynamics. Four experiments were analysed in order to estimate the aerosol size distribution, ...

Copernicus Publications2021

A hybrid collocation-perturbation approach for PDEs with random domains

Fabio Nobile

Consider a linear elliptic PDE defined over a stochastic stochastic geometry a function of N random variables. In many application, quantify the uncertainty propagated to a quantity of interest (QoI) is an important problem. The random domain is split into ...

2021

Probabilistic and Bayesian methods for uncertainty quantification of deterministic and stochastic differential equations

Giacomo Garegnani

In this thesis we explore uncertainty quantification of forward and inverse problems involving differential equations. Differential equations are widely employed for modeling natural and social phenomena, with applications in engineering, chemistry, meteor ...

EPFL2021

Motivating Innovation: The Effect of Loss Aversion on the Willingness to Persist

Kenneth Younge

We investigate the willingness of individuals to persist at exploration in the face of failure. Prior research suggests that the organization's "tolerance for failure" may motivate greater exploration by the individual. Little is known, however, about how ...

MIT Press2020

One simulation to have them all: performance of the Bias Assignment Method against N-body simulations

Cheng Zhao

In this paper, we demonstrate that the information encoded in one single (sufficiently large) N-body simulation can be used to reproduce arbitrary numbers of halo catalogues, using approximated realizations of dark matter density fields with different init ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS2020

Distributed modifier-adaptation schemes for the real-time optimisation of uncertain interconnected systems

Dominique Bonvin, Predrag Milosavljevic, René Uwe Schneider

This paper proposes a set of distributed real-time optimisation schemes for the steady-state optimisation of parametrically and structurally uncertain systems that are composed of multiple interconnected subsystems. These schemes are derived in the framewo ...

TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD2019

Development and Application of Data Assimilation Methods in Reactor Physics

Daniel Jerôme Siefman

Simulations of nuclear reactor physics can disagree significantly from experimental evidence, even when the most accurate models are used. An important part of this bias from experiment is caused by nuclear data. The nuclear data have inherent uncertaintie ...

EPFL2019

Equivalent frame models for in-plane and out-of-plane response of unreinforced masonry buildings

Francesco Vanin

The seismic assessment of masonry buildings, both modern unreinforced masonry (URM) buildings and historical heritage constructions, is a complex task, characterised by a several sources of uncertainty, which regard the appropriate modelling of strategy th ...

EPFL2019

Belief as a Wise Wager : the Neural Representation of Uncertainty, Surprise and Confidence Across Cognitive and Perceptual Domains

Leyla Loued-Khenissi

From the moment we wake up in the morning to the day's ebb when we settle in to sleep, we are bound to the task of decision-making. Some of these decisions barely register in our consciousness, if at all, while others, less shy, take a more prominent place ...

EPFL2018

Hydro-mechanical analysis of gas transport in compacted bentonite: uncertainty modelling

Lyesse Laloui, Aldo Madaschi

In the last years, transport of gases in clay buffer materials for Engineered Barrier Systems (EBS) has been deeply investigated by many research programs in the framework of nuclear waste storage. At present state, the coupled hydromechanical models to an ...

TU Delft2018

Shutdown dose rate measurements after the 2016 Deuterium-Deuterium campaign at JET

Patrick Blanchard, Basil Duval, Ambrogio Fasoli, Yves Martin, Richard Pitts, Olivier Sauter, Henri Weisen, Robin Humphry-Baker, Stefano Coda, Martinus Gijs, Partha Dutta, Marco Wischmeier, Jan Horacek, Vlad Trifa, Yann Camenen, Jonathan Graves, Duccio Testa, Miguel Fernández Ruiz, Sun Hee Kim, Mikhail Maslov, Javier García Hernández, David Pfefferlé, José Pedro Rebelo Ferreira Marques, Julio Rodriguez, Pedro Camilo de Oliveira e Silva, Rebecca Hill, Daniel Scott Alessi, Jonnathan Cesar Hidalgo Acosta, Ana Francisca Leal Silva Soares, Dalziel Joseph Wilson, Pierre-Thomas Paul Brun, Jonathan Marc Philippe Faustin, Federico Nespoli, Alberto Hernando de Castro, Hamish William Patten, Bruno Emanuel Ferreira De Sousa Correia, Li Shuai, Nicola Vianello, Antonio José Pereira de Figueiredo, , , , , , , , ,

14 MeV calibration of JET neutron detectors-phase 2: in-vessel calibration

Patrick Blanchard, Basil Duval, Ambrogio Fasoli, Yves Martin, Richard Pitts, Olivier Sauter, Henri Weisen, Robin Humphry-Baker, Stefano Coda, Martinus Gijs, Partha Dutta, Marco Wischmeier, Jan Horacek, Vlad Trifa, Yann Camenen, Jonathan Graves, Duccio Testa, Miguel Fernández Ruiz, Sun Hee Kim, Mikhail Maslov, Javier García Hernández, David Pfefferlé, José Pedro Rebelo Ferreira Marques, Julio Rodriguez, Pedro Camilo de Oliveira e Silva, Rebecca Hill, Daniel Scott Alessi, Jonnathan Cesar Hidalgo Acosta, Ana Francisca Leal Silva Soares, Dalziel Joseph Wilson, Pierre-Thomas Paul Brun, Jonathan Marc Philippe Faustin, Federico Nespoli, Alberto Hernando de Castro, Hamish William Patten, Bruno Emanuel Ferreira De Sousa Correia, Li Shuai, Nicola Vianello, Antonio José Pereira de Figueiredo, , , , , , , , ,

NAGRA Project Order 16’189 EBS – Task Force: Gas Transport in Bentonite

Lyesse Laloui, Aldo Madaschi

The Task 7 of the EBS task force is devoted to the modelling of gas transport phenomena in saturated bentonite. It was launched mid‐2016 with the following objectives: - To survey existing modelling tools for the simulation of gas migration in saturated be ...

2018

Uncertainty propagation by using spectral methods: A practical application to a two-dimensional turbulence fluid model

Paolo Ricci, Fabio Riva

To reduce the computational cost of the uncertainty propagation analysis, which is used to study the impact of input parameter variations on the results of a simulation, a general and simple to apply methodology based on decomposing the solution to the mod ...

American Institute of Physics2017

Characterization of input uncertainties in strategic energy planning models

Michel Bierlaire, François Maréchal, Victor Codina Gironès, Stefano Moret

Various countries and communities are defining strategic energy plans driven by concerns for climate change and security of energy supply. Energy models can support this decision-making process. The long-term planning horizon requires uncertainty to be acc ...

Elsevier Sci Ltd2017