Publications associées à Temporally Consistent Snow Cover Estimation from Noisy, Irregularly Sampled Measurements

On distributional autoregression and iterated transportation

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of Double-struck capital R. An order-1 autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov chain, where ...

Wiley2024

Deciphering the nature of cell state transitions in single cells using quantitative modeling of temporal dynamics

Alex Russell Lederer

Cells are the smallest operational units of living systems. Through synthesis of various biomolecules and exchange of signals with the environment, cells tightly regulate their composition to realize a specific functional state. The transformation of a cel ...

EPFL2024

Quantitative Methods for Omnichannel Decision-Making

Andrey Vasilyev

Omnichannel retail has emerged as the new standard in today's commerce landscape, with retailers integrating their physical and online channels to enhance the customer shopping experience. However, such integration presents significant challenges for retai ...

EPFL2023

Stochastic adaptive resampling for the estimation of discrete choice models

Michel Bierlaire, Nicola Marco Ortelli, Matthieu Marie Cochon de Lapparent

In the field of choice modeling, the availability of ever-larger datasets has the potential to significantly expand our understanding of human behavior, but this prospect is limited by the poor scalability of discrete choice models (DCMs): as sample sizes ...

2023

Distributional Regression and Autoregression via Optimal Transport

Laya Ghodrati

We present a framework for performing regression when both covariate and response are probability distributions on a compact and convex subset of

\R^d

. Our regression model is based on the theory of optimal transport and links the conditional Fr'echet m ...

EPFL2023

Metastability of the Potts Ferromagnet on Random Regular Graphs

Jean Bernoulli Ravelomanana

We study the performance of Markov chains for the q-state ferromagnetic Potts model on random regular graphs. While the cases of the grid and the complete graph are by now well-understood, the case of random regular graphs has resisted a detailed analysis ...

SPRINGER2023

Estimating pollution spread in water networks as a Schrödinger bridge problem with partial information

Isabel Haasler

Incidents where water networks are contaminated with microorganisms or pollutants can result in a large number of infected or ill persons, and it is therefore important to quickly detect, localize and estimate the spread and source of the contamination. In ...

Elsevier2023

A note on universal inference

Anthony Christopher Davison, Timmy Rong Tian Tse

Universal inference enables the construction of confidence intervals and tests without regularity conditions by splitting the data into two parts and appealing to Markov's inequality. Previous investigations have shown that the cost of this generality is a ...

WILEY2022

Hidden Markov Modeling Over Graphs

Ali H. Sayed, Stefan Vlaski, Virginia Bordignon, Mert Kayaalp

This work proposes a multi-agent filtering algorithm over graphs for finite-state hidden Markov models (HMMs), which can be used for sequential state estimation or for tracking opinion formation over dynamic social networks. We show that the difference fro ...

IEEE2022

Predictive user-based relocation through incentives in one-way car-sharing systems

Nikolaos Geroliminis, Patrick Stefan Adriaan Stokkink

Car-sharing systems are an attractive alternative to private vehicles due to their benefits in terms of mobility and sustainability. However, the distribution of vehicles throughout the network in one-way systems is disturbed due to asymmetry and stochasti ...

2021

Fast Bayesian estimation of spatial count data models

Prateek Bansal, Rico Krüger

Spatial count data models are used to explain and predict the frequency of phenomena such as traffic accidents in geographically distinct entities such as census tracts or road segments. These models are typically estimated using Bayesian Markov chain Mont ...

2021

Product of experts for robot learning from demonstration

Emmanuel Pignat

Adaptability and ease of programming are key features necessary for a wider spread of robotics in factories and everyday assistance. Learning from demonstration (LfD) is an approach to address this problem. It aims to develop algorithms and interfaces such ...

EPFL2021

Unbiased Monte Carlo cluster updates with autoregressive neural networks

Giuseppe Carleo, Dian Wu, Riccardo Rossi

Efficient sampling of complex high-dimensional probability distributions is a central task in computational science. Machine learning methods like autoregressive neural networks, used with Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling, provide good approximations to s ...

AMER PHYSICAL SOC2021

Bayesian estimation of mixed multinomial logit models: Advances and simulation-based evaluations

Michel Bierlaire, Prateek Bansal

Variational Bayes (VB) methods have emerged as a fast and computationally-efficient alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for scalable Bayesian estimation of mixed multinomial logit (MMNL) models. It has been established that VB is substan ...

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD2020

Predicting learners' effortful behaviour in adaptive assessment using multimodal data

Kshitij Sharma, Jennifer Kaitlyn Olsen

Many factors influence learners' performance on an activity beyond the knowledge required. Learners' on-task effort has been acknowledged for strongly relating to their educational outcomes, reflecting how actively they are engaged in that activity. Howeve ...

ASSOC COMPUTING MACHINERY2020

On quantifying the quality of acoustic models in hybrid DNN-HMM ASR

Hervé Bourlard, Afsaneh Asaei, Pranay Dighe

We propose an information theoretic framework for quantitative assessment of acoustic models used in hidden Markov model (HMM) based automatic speech recognition (ASR). The HMM backend expects that (i) the acoustic model yields accurate state conditional e ...

ELSEVIER2020

Multilingual Training and Adaptation in Speech Recognition

Sibo Tong

State-of-the-art acoustic models for Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) are based on Hidden Markov Models (HMM) and Deep Neural Networks (DNN) and often require thousands of hours of transcribed speech data during training. Therefore, building multilingual ...

EPFL2020

Inference methods for the study of interacting biological oscillators in single-cells

Colas Noé Droin

Biological oscillators are pervasive in biology, covering all aspects of life from enzyme kinetics reactions to population dynamics. Although their behaviour has been intensively studied in the last decades, the recent advances of high-throughput experimen ...

EPFL2020

The time-dependent expected reward and deviation matrix of a finite QBD process

Sophie Myriam Hautphenne

Deriving the time-dependent expected reward function associated with a continuous-time Markov chain involves the computation of its transient deviation matrix. In this paper we focus on the special case of a finite quasi-birth-and-death (QBD) process, moti ...

ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC2019

Geometric ergodicity for some space-time max-stable Markov chains

Erwan Fabrice Koch

Max-stable processes are central models for spatial extremes. In this paper, we focus on some space-time max-stable models introduced in Embrechts et al. (2016). The processes considered induce discrete-time Markov chains taking values in the space of cont ...

ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV2019