Publications related to National Weather Service

Network time series forecasting in photovoltaics power production

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) power production is crucial for the integration of more renewable energy sources into the power grid. PV power production is highly intermittent, due to the stochastic cloud behaviour and cloud dynamics. Previous w ...

EPFL2024

Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021

Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Pan Xu, Weitong Zhang, Wei Cao, Myungjin Kim, Shan Yu, Xinyi Li, Lei Gao

During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities, companies, and ...

Public Library Science2024

Good enough: Intermediate complexity atmospheric models improve the representation of processes affecting seasonal snow

Dylan Stewart Reynolds

Snow plays a crucial role in processes regulating ecosystems, the climate, and human development. Mountain snowpack in particular has great relevance for downstream communities. Knowledge about the distribution and properties of the snowpack thus help in p ...

EPFL2024

Turbulence and Heat exchange in the Near-Surface Boundary Layer over Patchy Snow

Michael Haugeneder

The atmospheric layer adjacent to the earth's surface is of crucial importance for weather models due to the exchange of energy between the surface and the atmosphere. This exchange is dependent on the various surface properties and influences the state of ...

EPFL2024

Combining Weather Station Data and Short-Term LiDAR Deployment to Estimate Wind Energy Potential with Machine Learning: A Case Study from the Swiss Alps

Michael Lehning, Wolf Hendrik Huwald, Jérôme François Sylvain Dujardin, Franziska Gerber, Fanny Kristianti

Wind energy potential in complex terrain is still poorly understood and difficult to quantify. With Switzerland’s current efforts to shift to renewable energy resources, it is now becoming even more crucial to investigate the hidden potential of wind energ ...

2023

Weather Impacts on Indoor Radon Short-Term Measurements in Switzerland

Joan Rey

Radon is a natural and radioactively well-known carcinogenic indoor air pollutant. Since 2020, a radon short-term proactive methodology has been proposed by Swiss authorities, which aims to evaluate the probability of overpassing the national reference val ...

MDPI2023

Assessing the simulation of snowfall at Dumont d'Urville, Antarctica, during the YOPP-SH special observing campaign

Alexis Berne, Etienne Gabriel Henri Vignon

The performance of a set of atmospheric models and meteorological reanalyses in the representation of precipitation days in Antarctica is assessed using ground-based observations such as a precipitation gauge and a Micro Rain Radar during the Year Of Polar ...

WILEY2023

Improved extended-range prediction of persistent stratospheric perturbations using machine learning

Guillaume Romain Obozinski, Raphaël Gérard Théodore Michel Marie de Deloÿe et Fourcade de Fondeville

On average every 2 years, the stratospheric polar vortex exhibits extreme perturbations known as sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs). The impact of these events is not limited to the stratosphere: but they can also influence the weather at the surface of ...

Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh2023

Doppler spectra collected by weather and cloud radars during the POPE 2020 campaign at Princess Elisabeth Antarctica

Alexis Berne, Alfonso Ferrone

This repository contains the datasets of Doppler spectra collected by two meteorological radars in the vicinity of the Belgian research base Princess Elisabeth Antarctica (PEA). The measurement campaign has been conducted by the Environmental Remote S ...

Zenodo2023

Reinforcement Learning for Outdoor Balloon Navigation: A Successful Controller for an Autonomous Balloon

Mirko Kovac, Simon Jeger

Autonomous ballooning allows for energy-efficient long-range missions but introduces significant challenges for planning and control algorithms, due to their single degree of actuation: vertical rate control through either buoyancy or vertical thrust. Late ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2024

Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations

Benjamin Bejar Haro, Ekaterina Krymova, Ntorina Thanou, Nicola Parolini, Daniel Rodrigo Lopez, Andrea Kraus, Daniel Lopez, David Kraus, Markus Scholz, Tao Sun

Background:Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, one can maximise the predictive p ...

eLIFE SCIENCES PUBL LTD2023

Evaluation of 30 urban land surface models in the Urban-PLUMBER project: Phase 1 results

Gabriele Manoli, Matthias Roth

Accurately predicting weather and climate in cities is critical for safeguarding human health and strengthening urban resilience. Multimodel evaluations can lead to model improvements; however, there have been no major intercomparisons of urban-focussed la ...

Wiley2023

Assessing sublimation during snow transport and sublimation effects on the isotopic composition of water vapor

Armin Sigmund

Sublimation influences the water storage in snow covers and glaciers, which is important for water use and projections of the sea level rise. Yet, it is challenging to quantify sublimation for large areas or in conditions of snow transport. In-situ measure ...

EPFL2023

On the possibility of extending the service life of winter roads using renewable energy sources

Elizaveta Sharaborova

It is hard to overestimate the role of winter roads in the land logistics of the northern regions. In recent years, climate change has not only significantly reduced the service life of winter roads, but also made them less predictable. This forces transpo ...

2023

An empirical model to calculate snow depth from daily snow water equivalent: SWE2HS 1.0

Adrien Michel, Tobias Jonas

Many methods exist to model snow densification in order to calculate the depth of a single snow layer or the depth of the total snow cover from its mass. Most of these densification models need to be tightly integrated with an accumulation and melt model a ...

COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH2023

The role of secondary ice production in mixed-phase clouds

Paraskevi Georgakaki

Clouds are omnipresent in the Earth's atmosphere. Their phase composition significantly modulates their interaction with solar and terrestrial radiation, as well as precipitation formation. Particularly for clouds containing both phases, known as mixed-pha ...

EPFL2023

Supercell Thunderstorms in the Alpine Region - From Weather Radar Observations to Idealized Modeling

Monika Feldmann

The high-impact nature and increasing occurrence of severe weather phenomena pushes forward research on their occurrence and improving our understanding thereof. Supercell thunderstorms are the focus of much severe convective research, as they represent on ...

EPFL2023

In situ observations of the Swiss periglacial environment using GNSS instruments

Alessandro Cicoira, Matthias Meyer, Hugo Raetzo

Monitoring of the periglacial environment is relevant for many disciplines including glaciology, natural hazard management, geomorphology, and geodesy. Since October 2022, Rock Glacier Velocity (RGV) is a new Essential Climate Variable (ECV) product within ...

COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH2022

Interpretable temporal-spatial graph attention network for multi-site PV power forecasting

Pascal Frossard, Rafael Eduardo Carrillo Rangel, Pierre-Jean Alet, Baptiste Schubnel, Jelena Simeunovic

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) and wind production is crucial for the integration of more renewable energy sources into the power grid. To address the limited resolution and costs of methods based on numerical weather predictions (NWP), we take ...

ELSEVIER SCI LTD2022

An evaluation of new particle formation events in Helsinki during a Baltic Sea cyanobacterial summer bloom

Lubna Dada, Marjan Marbouti

Several studies have investigated new particle formation (NPF) events from various sites ranging from pristine locations, including forest sites, to urban areas. However, there is still a dearth of studies investigating NPF processes and subsequent aerosol ...

Copernicus GmbH2022