Publications associées à Axiomes des probabilités

Technosignatures Longevity and Lindy's Law

The probability of detecting technosignatures (i.e., evidence of technological activity beyond Earth) increases with their longevity, or the time interval over which they manifest. Therefore, the assumed distribution of longevities has some bearing on the ...

Iop Publishing Ltd2024

Mean value theorems for collections of lattices with a prescribed group of symmetries

Nihar Prakash Gargava

Euclidean lattices are mathematical objects of increasing interest in the fields of cryptography and error-correcting codes. This doctoral thesis is a study on high-dimensional lattices with the motivation to understand how efficient they are in terms of b ...

EPFL2024

A multigrid method for PDE-constrained optimization with uncertain inputs

Fabio Nobile, Tommaso Vanzan

In this manuscript, we present a collective multigrid algorithm to solve efficiently the large saddle-point systems of equations that typically arise in PDE-constrained optimization under uncertainty, and develop a novel convergence analysis of collective ...

Springer Science and Business Media LLC2024

Influence of advanced footwear technology on sub-2 hour marathon and other top running performances

Raphaël Gérard Théodore Michel Marie de Deloÿe et Fourcade de Fondeville

In 2019, Eliud Kipchoge ran a sub-two hour marathon wearing Nike's Alphafly shoes. Despite being the fastest marathon time ever recorded, it wasn't officially recognized as race conditions were tightly controlled to maximize his success. Besides, Kipchoge' ...

WALTER DE GRUYTER GMBH2022

Preconditioners for robust optimal control problems under uncertainty

Fabio Nobile, Tommaso Vanzan

The discretization of robust quadratic optimal control problems under uncertainty using the finite element method and the stochastic collocation method leads to large saddle-point systems, which are fully coupled across the random realizations. Despite its ...

2023

A Functional Perspective on Information Measures

Amedeo Roberto Esposito

Since the birth of Information Theory, researchers have defined and exploited various information measures, as well as endowed them with operational meanings. Some were born as a "solution to a problem", like Shannon's Entropy and Mutual Information. Other ...

EPFL2022

Toward Mobile Distributed Ledgers

Boi Faltings, Sujit Prakash Gujar, Dimitrios Chatzopoulos, Anurag Jain

Advances in mobile computing have paved the way for new types of distributed applications that can be executed solely by mobile devices on Device-to-Device (D2D) ecosystems (e.g., crowdsensing). Sophisticated applications, like cryptocurrencies, need distr ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2022

Waterborne virus transport and the associated risks in a large lake

Tamar Kohn, Xavier Fernandez Cassi, Chaojie Li, Timothy R. Julian

Waterborne enteric viruses in lakes, especially at recreational water sites, may have a negative impact on human health. However, their fate and transport in lakes are poorly understood. In this study, we propose a coupled water quality and quantitative mi ...

2022

Effect of wastewater treatment and environmental exposure on an enterovirus population

Odile Marie Clotilde Hervás de Nalda-Larivé

The presence of viruses in recreational water can present a risk for human health and wastewater effluent is a source of virus in the environment. Their persistence in the environment influences their probability to find a new host. Studies have shown that ...

EPFL2022

Semi-Discrete Optimal Transport: Hardness, Regularization and Numerical Solution

Daniel Kuhn, Soroosh Shafieezadeh Abadeh, Bahar Taskesen

Semi-discrete optimal transport problems, which evaluate the Wasserstein distance between a discrete and a generic (possibly non-discrete) probability measure, are believed to be computationally hard. Even though such problems are ubiquitous in statistics, ...

2023

A probabilistic finite element method based on random meshes: A posteriori error estimators and Bayesian inverse problems

Assyr Abdulle, Giacomo Garegnani

We present a novel probabilistic finite element method (FEM) for the solution and uncertainty quantification of elliptic partial differential equations based on random meshes, which we call random mesh FEM (RM-FEM). Our methodology allows to introduce a pr ...

ELSEVIER SCIENCE SA2021

Predicting involuntary hospitalization in psychiatry: A machine learning investigation

Mehdi Gholam

Background Coercion in psychiatry is a controversial issue. Identifying its predictors and their interaction using traditional statistical methods is difficult, given the large number of variables involved. The purpose of this study was to use machine-lear ...

CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS2021

A Pareto Dominance Principle for Data-Driven Optimization

Daniel Kuhn, Tobias Sutter

We propose a statistically optimal approach to construct data-driven decisions for stochastic optimization problems. Fundamentally, a data-driven decision is simply a function that maps the available training data to a feasible action. It can always be exp ...

2024

Generalization Error Bounds Via Rényi-, f-Divergences and Maximal Leakage

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Amedeo Roberto Esposito, Ibrahim Issa

In this work, the probability of an event under some joint distribution is bounded by measuring it with the product of the marginals instead (which is typically easier to analyze) together with a measure of the dependence between the two random variables. ...

2021

Probabilistic and Bayesian methods for uncertainty quantification of deterministic and stochastic differential equations

Giacomo Garegnani

In this thesis we explore uncertainty quantification of forward and inverse problems involving differential equations. Differential equations are widely employed for modeling natural and social phenomena, with applications in engineering, chemistry, meteor ...

EPFL2021

Tighter thermodynamic bound on the speed limit in systems with unidirectional transitions

Daniel Maria Busiello, Deepak Gupta

We consider a general discrete state-space system with both unidirectional and bidirectional links. In contrast to bidirectional links, there is no reverse transition along the unidirectional links Herein, we first compute the statistical length and the th ...

2020

Normalized Gaussian path integrals

Giulio Corazza

Path integrals play a crucial role in describing the dynamics of physical systems subject to classical or quantum noise. In fact, when correctly normalized, they express the probability of transition between two states of the system. In this work, we show ...

AMER PHYSICAL SOC2020

Statistical Fatigue Investigation and Failure Prediction of a Healable Composite System

Véronique Michaud, Amaël Maximilien Cohades, Nathan Klaus Hostettler

Fiber reinforced polymers are massively used as an alternative to metals in structural applications. The brittle nature of their matrix, however, makes them more susceptible to crack formation and propagation resulting in costly repair operations and incre ...

2020

On the Almost Sure Convergence of Stochastic Gradient Descent in Non-Convex Problems

Volkan Cevher, Ali Kavis, Shaul Nadav Hallak

This paper analyzes the trajectories of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) to help understand the algorithm’s convergence properties in non-convex problems. We first show that the sequence of iterates generated by SGD remains bounded and converges with prob ...

2020

The Cost of Scaling a Reliable Interconnection Topology

Rachid Guerraoui, Alexandre David Olivier Maurer

In distributed computing, many papers try to evaluate the message complexity of a distributed system as a function of the number of nodes n. But what about the cost of building the distributed system itself? Assuming that we want to reliably connect n node ...

2020