Publications associées à Semi-Markov model for simulating MOOC students

Gibbs sampling the posterior of neural networks

Giovanni Piccioli, Lenka Zdeborová, Emanuele Troiani

In this paper, we study sampling from a posterior derived from a neural network. We propose a new probabilistic model consisting of adding noise at every pre- and post-activation in the network, arguing that the resulting posterior can be sampled using an ...

Iop Publishing Ltd2024

On distributional autoregression and iterated transportation

Victor Panaretos, Laya Ghodrati

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of Double-struck capital R. An order-1 autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov chain, where ...

Wiley2024

Higher Order Asymptotics: Applications to Satellite Conjunction and Boundary Problems

Soumaya Elkantassi

Higher-order asymptotics provide accurate approximations for use in parametric statistical modelling. In this thesis, we investigate using higher-order approximations in two-specific settings, with a particular emphasis on the tangent exponential model. ...

EPFL2023

Revisiting adversarial training for the worst-performing class

Volkan Cevher, Thomas Michaelsen Pethick, Grigorios Chrysos

Despite progress in adversarial training (AT), there is a substantial gap between the topperforming and worst-performing classes in many datasets. For example, on CIFAR10, the accuracies for the best and worst classes are 74% and 23%, respectively. We argu ...

2023

Simulated Learners in Educational Technology: A Systematic Literature Review and a Turing-like Test

Tanja Christina Käser Jacober

Simulation is a powerful approach that plays a significant role in science and technology. Computational models that simulate learner interactions and data hold great promise for educational technology as well. Amongst others, simulated learners can be use ...

SPRINGER2023

Finding Paths for Explainable MOOC Recommendation: A Learner Perspective

Tanja Christina Käser Jacober, Jibril Albachir Frej, Tatjana Nazaretsky

The increasing availability of Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) has created a necessity for personalized course recommendation systems. These systems often combine neural networks with Knowledge Graphs (KGs) to achieve richer representations of learners ...

2023

A Conceptual Framework for Integrating Conversational Agents in Digital Education

Juan Carlos Farah

The presence of conversational agents (or chatbots) in educational contexts has been steadily increasing over the past few years. Recent surveys have shown widespread interest in the use of chatbots in education, both for research and practice. Although th ...

EPFL2023

Analysis of a Class of Multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo Algorithms Based on Independent Metropolis–Hastings

Fabio Nobile, Juan Pablo Madrigal Cianci

In this work, we present, analyze, and implement a class of multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo(ML-MCMC) algorithms based on independent Metropolis--Hastings proposals for Bayesian inverse problems. In this context, the likelihood function involves solving ...

2023

Prompting Large Language Models to Power Educational Chatbots

Denis Gillet, Sandy Ingram, Juan Carlos Farah, Fanny Kim-Lan Lasne

The recent rise in both popularity and performance of large language models has garnered considerable interest regarding their applicability to education. Technologies like ChatGPT, which can engage in human-like dialog, have already disrupted educational ...

Springer2023

Abundance matching analysis of the emission-line galaxy sample in the extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey

Johan Comparat, Anand Stéphane Raichoor

We present the measurements of the small-scale clustering for the emission-line galaxy (ELG) sample from the extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Surv e y (eBOSS) in the Sloan Digital Sk y Surv e y IV (SDSS-IV). We use conditional abundance matching m ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS2023

Trusting the Explainers: Teacher Validation of Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Course Design

Tanja Christina Käser Jacober, Vinitra Swamy, Mirko Marras, Sijia Du

Deep learning models for learning analytics have become increasingly popular over the last few years; however, these approaches are still not widely adopted in real-world settings, likely due to a lack of trust and transparency. In this paper, we tackle th ...

2023

Stochastic adaptive resampling for the estimation of discrete choice models

Michel Bierlaire, Nicola Marco Ortelli, Matthieu Marie Cochon de Lapparent

In the field of choice modeling, the availability of ever-larger datasets has the potential to significantly expand our understanding of human behavior, but this prospect is limited by the poor scalability of discrete choice models (DCMs): as sample sizes ...

2023

A Study on Gradient-based Meta-learning for Robust Deep Digital Twins

Olga Fink, Raffael Pascal Theiler, Michele Viscione

Deep-learning-based digital twins (DDT) are a promising tool for data-driven system health management because they can be trained directly on operational data. A major challenge for efficient training however is that industrial datasets remain unlabeled. T ...

Research Publishing2023

Emergency adaptation to distance learning: no magic bullet, but where there’s a will, there’s a way

Caroline Pulfrey

Whilst, in many countries, the sudden enforced transfer to large-scale distance learning in state schools as a result of COVID_19 lockdown measures caused turmoil, it also provided an unprecedented opportunity to understand more about key factors associate ...

2022

HIERARCHICAL MARKOV CHAIN MONTE CARLO METHODS FOR BAYESIAN INVERSE PROBLEMS

Juan Pablo Madrigal Cianci

This thesis is devoted to the construction, analysis, and implementation of two types of hierarchical Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for the solution of large-scale Bayesian Inverse Problems (BIP). The first hierarchical method we present is base ...

EPFL2022

Sampling-Based AQP in Modern Analytical Engines

Anastasia Ailamaki, Viktor Sanca

As the data volume grows, reducing the query execution times remains an elusive goal. While approximate query processing (AQP) techniques present a principled method to trade off accuracy for faster queries in analytics, the sample creation is often consid ...

ACM2022

Monte-Carlo Method for EMF Exposure Distribution Assessment in 5G Base Station

Anja Skrivervik, Tingyong Jiang

This paper proposes a studied case to assess the EMF (electromagnetic field) exposure distribution for a specific deployment scenario. This developed novel approach based on a Monte-Carlo (MC) approach took into account the non-uniform user distribution an ...

IEEE2022

A Blueprint for Integrating Task-Oriented Conversational Agents in Education

Denis Gillet, Sandy Ingram, Juan Carlos Farah

Over the past few years, there has been an increase in the use of chatbots for educational purposes. Nevertheless, the chatbot technologies and architectures that are often applied to educational contexts are not necessarily designed for such contexts. Whi ...

2022

Space Oddity? A Statistical Formulation of Conjunction Assessment

Anthony Christopher Davison, Soumaya Elkantassi

Satellite conjunctions involving "near misses" of space objects are becoming increasingly likely. One approach to risk analysis for them involves the computation of the collision probability, but this has been regarded as having some counterintuitive prope ...

AMER INST AERONAUTICS ASTRONAUTICS2022

A neural probe to sample brain fluid in nanoliter volumes for quantitative molecular studies

Joan Teixidor

Neural functions operate in tightly controlled conditions that are mediated by multiple electrical and chemical phenomena. Brain disorders such as Parkinson's Disease and Alzheimer's Disease perturb these conditions and cause a loss of neurons, which impai ...

EPFL2022