Publications associées à A quantitative central limit theorem for the random walk among random conductances

Anthony C Davison and Igor Rodionov's contribution to the Discussion of 'Estimating means of bounded random variables by betting' by Waudby-Smith and Ramdas

Anthony Christopher Davison, Igor Rodionov

We derive confidence intervals (CIs) and confidence sequences (CSs) for the classical problem of estimating a bounded mean. Our approach generalizes and improves on the celebrated Chernoff method, yielding the best closed-form "empirical-Bernstein" CSs and ...

Oxford Univ Press2024

Personalized Privacy-Preserving Distributed Learning on Heterogeneous Data

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Aditya Pradeep

One major challenge in distributed learning is to efficiently learn for each client when the data across clients is heterogeneous or non iid (not independent or identically distributed). This provides a significant challenge as the data of the other client ...

2023

Unlikely intersections on the p-adic formal ball

Vlad Serban

We investigate generalizations along the lines of the Mordell-Lang conjecture of the author's p-adic formal Manin-Mumford results for n-dimensional p-divisible formal groups F. In particular, given a finitely generated subgroup (sic) of F(Q(p)) and a close ...

SPRINGER INT PUBL AG2023

Robust discrete choice models with t-distributed kernel errors

Michel Bierlaire, Prateek Bansal, Thomas Gasos

Outliers in discrete choice response data may result from misclassification and misreporting of the response variable and from choice behaviour that is inconsistent with modelling assumptions (e.g. random utility maximisation). In the presence of outliers, ...

2023

Nonparametric estimation for SDE with sparsely sampled paths: An FDA perspective

Victor Panaretos, Neda Mohammadi Jouzdani

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on n independent replicates {Xi(t) : t is an element of [0 , 1]}13 d B(t), where alpha is an element of {0 , 1} a ...

Elsevier2024

Preconditioners for robust optimal control problems under uncertainty

Fabio Nobile, Tommaso Vanzan

The discretization of robust quadratic optimal control problems under uncertainty using the finite element method and the stochastic collocation method leads to large saddle-point systems, which are fully coupled across the random realizations. Despite its ...

2023

Functional estimation of anisotropic covariance and autocovariance operators on the sphere

Victor Panaretos, Julien René Pierre Fageot, Matthieu Martin Jean-André Simeoni, Alessia Caponera

We propose nonparametric estimators for the second-order central moments of possibly anisotropic spherical random fields, within a functional data analysis context. We consider a measurement framework where each random field among an identically distribute ...

2022

A Functional Perspective on Information Measures

Amedeo Roberto Esposito

Since the birth of Information Theory, researchers have defined and exploited various information measures, as well as endowed them with operational meanings. Some were born as a "solution to a problem", like Shannon's Entropy and Mutual Information. Other ...

EPFL2022

Is There a Cap on Longevity? A Statistical Review

Anthony Christopher Davison, Léo Raymond-Belzile

There is sustained and widespread interest in understanding the limit, if there is any, to the human life span. Apart from its intrinsic and biological interest, changes in survival in old age have implications for the sustainability of social security sys ...

ANNUAL REVIEWS2022

On Approximations of Data-Driven Chance Constrained Programs over Wasserstein Balls

Daniel Kuhn, Wolfram Wiesemann, Zhi Chen

Distributionally robust chance constrained programs minimize a deterministic cost function subject to the satisfaction of one or more safety conditions with high probability, given that the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters affec ...

2023

D-Cliques: Compensating for Data Heterogeneity with Topology in Decentralized Federated Learning

Anne-Marie Kermarrec, Erick Lavoie

The convergence speed of machine learning models trained with Federated Learning is significantly affected by non-independent and identically distributed (non-IID) data partitions, even more so in a fully decentralized setting without a central server. In ...

2022

Localization errors of the stochastic heat equation

David Jean-Michel Candil

In this thesis, we study the stochastic heat equation (SHE) on bounded domains and on the whole Euclidean space

\R^d.

We confirm the intuition that as the bounded domain increases to the whole space, both solutions become arbitrarily close to one another ...

EPFL2022

Dynamical low rank approximation for uncertainty quantification of time-dependent problems

Eva Vidlicková

The quantification of uncertainties can be particularly challenging for problems requiring long-time integration as the structure of the random solution might considerably change over time. In this respect, dynamical low-rank approximation (DLRA) is very a ...

EPFL2022

Functional peaks-over-threshold analysis

Anthony Christopher Davison, Raphaël Gérard Théodore Michel Marie de Deloÿe et Fourcade de Fondeville

Peaks-over-threshold analysis using the generalised Pareto distribution is widely applied in modelling tails of univariate random variables, but much information may be lost when complex extreme events are studied using univariate results. In this paper, w ...

WILEY2022

Sub‐asymptotic motivation for new conditional multivariate extreme models

Anthony Christopher Davison, Thomas Lugrin, Jonathan A. Tawn

Statistical models for extreme values are generally derived from non-degenerate probabilistic limits that can be used to approximate the distribution of events that exceed a selected high threshold. If convergence to the limit distribution is slow, then th ...

2021

Semi-Discrete Optimal Transport: Hardness, Regularization and Numerical Solution

Daniel Kuhn, Soroosh Shafieezadeh Abadeh, Bahar Taskesen

Semi-discrete optimal transport problems, which evaluate the Wasserstein distance between a discrete and a generic (possibly non-discrete) probability measure, are believed to be computationally hard. Even though such problems are ubiquitous in statistics, ...

2023

Learning Self-Exciting Temporal Point Processes Under Noisy Observations

William Trouleau

Understanding the diffusion patterns of sequences of interdependent events is a central question for a variety of disciplines. Temporal point processes are a class of elegant and powerful models of such sequences; these processes have become popular across ...

EPFL2021

Generalization Error Bounds Via Rényi-, f-Divergences and Maximal Leakage

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Ibrahim Issa, Amedeo Roberto Esposito

In this work, the probability of an event under some joint distribution is bounded by measuring it with the product of the marginals instead (which is typically easier to analyze) together with a measure of the dependence between the two random variables. ...

2021

Predicting involuntary hospitalization in psychiatry: A machine learning investigation

Mehdi Gholam

Background Coercion in psychiatry is a controversial issue. Identifying its predictors and their interaction using traditional statistical methods is difficult, given the large number of variables involved. The purpose of this study was to use machine-lear ...

CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS2021

The probability of intransitivity in dice and close elections

Jan Hazla

We study the phenomenon of intransitivity in models of dice and voting. First, we follow a recent thread of research for n-sided dice with pairwise ordering induced by the probability, relative to 1/2, that a throw from one die is higher than the other. We ...

2020